"It is now the post-Witten era in Dallas and unless a tight end on the roster emerges this season, the position could be high on the wish list next offseason. His athleticism makes Fant an appealing up-and-coming prospect."
Now that the big board with the top 175 players is posted, we can start looking at different strategies that the Cowboys can deploy in the draft.
Over the next few weeks, I will look at various scenarios the Cowboys could employ on draft day. These scenarios will look at possible trade partners and strategies and will end in sample mock drafts.
Before getting to the scenarios, let’s review assumptions and points:
- I am a proponent of moving down in the draft, so many of the scenarios will involve the Cowboys moving down. Several of the scenarios involve multiple trades; so yes, a few of these scenarios may be a little unrealistic (but they are fun).
- You have to find partners to trade with. It is a two way street. These scenarios will assume that the Cowboys can find the willing partners they need to execute the trades. For each scenario I will try to find a partner that has a need that they may want to trade up for, we will then analyze the “win” for each team if they make the trade.
- For the sake of consistency, I will use the Draft Value Chart to determine what trades have relatively equal value.
- For each scenario I will provide six sample mock ups of what the Cowboys could do with the final picks. For example, what if the Cowboys go running back first, or what if they go QB, or what if they go DE, etc. etc.
- I will use our big board as well as the boards from several respected scouts to determine which player(s) will be available at a specific draft number. For example, at pick number 15 most big boards/mock drafts say that two QBs will be gone, as will the top running back, so what would the Cowboys do then…..
Specific scenarios are:
- The Cowboys trade down to number 15 in the first. They would pick up the Rams two second round picks, then they would stand pat in the second & third & fourth. That is one trade and they finish with a first, three seconds, a third and two fourths.
- The Cowboys trade back to 15 and pick up the Rams two seconds. Then they trade from 15 to the twenties to pick up another second. They also take their third and one of their seconds to trade up for another first. Then they take one of their seconds and trade down to the late second to pick up a third round pick. That is four trades ending up with the Cowboys having two firsts, three seconds, one third, and two fourths.
- The Cowboys trade down to number 15 in the first to pick up two second round picks. The Cowboys would then trade down one of the seconds to add another third round pick. Finally they would trade their fourths to pick up another third rounder. This would involve three trades and the Cowboys would end up with a first rounder, 3 seconds, 3 thirds
- The Cowboys dropping down to the 10-12 in the first to pick up a second and third, then trading down a second to pick up an additional third. The Cowboys would end up with a first, two seconds, two thirds, two fourths.
- Cowboys dropping down to the 10-12 in the first to pick up a second and third. They would then trade down a second to pick up an additional third. In this scenario they would end up with a first, two seconds, three thirds, two fourths)
- They stay put in the first and trade down in the second to pick up a third and fourth. They would end up with a one, a second, two thirds, and three fourths.
- They stay put in the first and trade down in the second to pick up a third and fourth. They would take two of their fourths to pick up a late third. This would involve two trades and would end up with a one, a second, two thirds, and one fourth.
- Trade down their first to pick up a second and third, then trading up your second and a third to go back up and get a one. In this scenario they would end up with two ones, one second, one third, and two fourths.
- Trade their one down four or five positions to pick up a second. Then trading down your second to pick up another third. In this scenario, they end up with first, two seconds, two thirds, two fourths.
- Trading down in the first to pick up a second and third. Then taking a second and third and trading back up into the first. Let’s also trade back the other second to pick up another third. In this scenario we would wind up with two firsts, a mid-to-late second, two thirds, and two fourths.
- Trading down in the first for a second and third. Then, trading down a second to pick up a third. Then trading a second and third to go back up into the first. Lets also have them take their fourths and trade up to the end of the third. They would up with two firsts, one second, and three thirds
- The Cowboys staying put and not trading up or down.
Okay, so let’s start with the first scenario. In this scenario we are trading down with the Rams and picking up their two seconds. That would mean the Rams would overpay according to the value chart, but we can offset that by swapping out thirds as well. So in the third, the Cowboys would give up the 68th pick for the 77th. In this scenario, the Rams would still overpay, but if they want to come up and get a QB, then they should be willing to do it.
So in this scenario the Cowboys would wind up with the 15, 35, 44, 46, 77, 101, 135, 189, 212, 216, 217. I am also going to assume that the Cowboys will not need that many sixth rounder’s, and will trade the 189 to pick up a 5th round draft pick next year. So let’s eliminate the 189 for now.
Here are some possible drafts under this scenario. The rest of the draft is set up with the first pick. So who will be available at 15 that the Cowboys can take? It is a long shot but it is possible that either Lawson, Wentz, Lawson, Treadwell, or Elliott will be available. Rankins would be a an good alternative too.
|Draft Pick||Option 1||Option 2||Option 3||Option 4||Dream Option||Dream 2|
|15||Wentz or Goff (QB)||Shaq Lawson (DE)||Treadwell (WR)||Rankins (DT3)||Zeke Elliott (RB)||Ryan Kelly (C/G)|
|35||Ogbah or Dodd (DE)||Doctson or Fuller (WR)||Ogbah or Dodd (DE)||Doctson or Fuller (WR)||Noah Spence (DE)||Ogbah or Dodd (DE)|
|44||Jonathan Bullard (DT3||Chris Jones (DT3)||Johnathan
|Derrick Henry (RB)||Doctson or Fuller (WR)||Jonathan Bullard (DT3)|
|46||Artie Burns (CB)||Austin Johnson (DT1)||Artie Burns (CB)||Artie Burns (CB)||Artie Burns (CB)||Artie Burns (CB)|
|77||Dion Jones (LB)||Westerman (G/C)||Jordan Howard (RB)||Dion Jones (LB)||Chris Jones (DT)||Kenneth Dixon (RB)|
|101||CJ Proisse (RB)||CJ Proisse (RB)||Cardale Jones (QB)||Ronald Blair (DE)||Jack Allen (C/G)||Kenny Lawler (WR)|
|135||Max Tuerk (C/G)||Daniel Lasco (RB)||Max Tuerk (C/G)||Max Tuerk (C/G)||Ronald Blair (DE)||Cardale Jones (QB)|
|212||Dan Vitale (FB)||Brandon Allen (QB)||Brandon Allen (QB)||Brandon Allen (QB||Brandon Allen (QB)||Lawrence-Stample(DT1)|
|216||Lawrence-Stample(DT1)||Dan Vitale (FB)||Dan Vitale (FB)||Dan Vitale (FB)||Dan Vitale (FB)||Dan Vitale (FB)|
|217||David Morgan II (TE)||Austin Blythe (C/G)||David Morgan II (TE)||David Morgan II (TE)||David Morgan II (TE)||David Morgan II (TE)|
Everyone has their favorite picks they want the Cowboys to grab, so I am sure you will have one of the options you like better than the others. They are all good options, it just depends on your preference for your pet player. But the options are all good.
The Cowboys get a QB in the first option, then come back with their seconds and third to address defense.
In the second option, the best DE falls to them. They draft a 10 year starter (barring injury), they go on to use three of the first four picks to address the D-line. They also get a starting caliber receiver with the first of the second round picks.
In the third option, the Cowboys get the best receiver in the draft. Then with the three seconds they strengthen the defense before getting their QB and RB in the third and early fourth.
With the fourth option, the Cowboys get a starting caliber three that can also help at the one. Then they address the receiver and running back positions before coming back to help the defense. It would be gambling a lot that Ronald Blair could contribute. Under this scenario, I would assume they would bring in another vet DE for insurance.
Under the dream option, some players fall a little so the Cowboys pick up the best running back (Zeke) and the best rusher (Spence). Either Doctson or Fuller falls to the mid-second (probably Fuller), then they get a solid, athletic corner in Burns and a very disruptive three technique in Jones (my pet cat). The Cowboys then draft a future starting center and they get a DE who could contribute (Blair). They then address blocking TE, FB, and QB to groom.
In dream option two, I wanted to do something different. Why not draft the best center/guard in the draft? After next year he would be the starter. Then you come back and get your DE, DT and CB in the second. In the third, you get your running back and a receiver with some upside. At the end of the fourth you get the QB with as much upside as anyone.
You can debate which option you would like, but the point is that by trading down the Cowboys can get a group of good players that would add depth and talent to the team.
Until the next scenario, I hope you enjoy discussing the Cowboys options.
Looking Ahead to 2019 NFL Mock Drafts, a Pass Catching Theme Persists
The Dallas Cowboys haven't played the 2018 NFL season yet, but that shouldn't stop us from looking ahead to the 2019 NFL Draft and seeing what players the team will have their eye on this fall.
With the NFL season fast approaching, that means the college football season is as well, and as we look through these mocks, perhaps you get an idea of whom to watch with a Cowboys perspective this fall.
I scoured the internet looking for the best and brightest minds and their "way too early 2019 mocks." As I perused the mocks, one thing was clear. Many of the national writers see the Dallas Cowboys going with an offensive pass catcher in the 2019 NFL Draft. Namely a TE.
TE Noah Fant, Iowa
Noah Fant, from the University of Iowa, will be a junior in his 2019 season and as a sophomore caught 30 passes for 494 yards (16.5 yards per reception) and 11 touchdowns. The receptions and yardage may not look all that impressive, but if we think about Iowa's offense in the Big 10, we can understand that he's not going to get many opportunities to catch the ball when the team is running it as often as they do.
In fact, the Hawkeyes ran the ball 10 more times per game than they threw it and their quarterback only completed - on average - 15 passes a game.
Fant accounted for 21% of the receiving yards on the season and 42% of the passing touchdowns. He was only 36 yards away from leading the team in receiving despite catching 21 fewer passes than leader Nick Easley. No other pass catcher for Iowa had more than four receiving touchdowns.
If there's something not to like at the moment about Fant, it's his size.
At the moment, College Football Reference has him listed at 232 pounds. There are running backs that weigh more than Fant does and he'll probably need to add about 10-20 pounds in the NFL to be an effective in-line blocker.
Mocked to the Dallas Cowboys by Dane Brugler of The Draft Show on DallasCowboys.com. In a mock draft he did for Sports Day DFW and the Dallas Morning News, he had this to say.
Dane Brugler - Sports Day DFW, Dallas Morning News
Eric Galko of The Sporting News selected the Iowa tight end to the Cowboys as well, seeing him as a special prospect that has the chance to fill the shoes of Jason Witten.
Ben Standig of NBC Sports Washington also had Noah Fant to the Cowboys, thinking they are in need of a Jason Witten replacement.
DE Austin Bryant, Clemson
Depending on what Dallas can get out of Right Defensive Ends Tyrone Crawford, Randy Gregory, Dorance Armstrong, and Charles Tapper, it could have the Cowboys taking a defensive end in the first round for the second time in three years.
Will Brinson's mock doesn't offer much analysis on Bryant, mostly saying that Clemson is going to be good. But here's what Draftek.com's Brett Clancy, who covers the 49ers, had to say about Bryant:
"Clemson's Austin Bryant is the 4th EDGE off the board in this mock and 2nd from his school, but he's still well worth a mid-round pick. Bryant broke out with 8.5 sacks as a junior last year and many thought he'd go pro. I like Bryant's move to stay in school and refine his game, specifically growing a repertoire of pass rush moves to complement his strong edge-setting ability."
Brett Clancy - Draftek.com
Bryant was amazingly disruptive for the Clemson Tigers as a junior, racking up 50 total tackles, 15.5 tackles for loss, and 8.5 sacks. At 6-5 265, he could come in and play right defensive end for the Dallas Cowboys on day one.
DT Raekwon Davis, Alabama
We know that the Dallas Cowboys have an affinity for Power 5 prospects and Jason Garrett goes back with Nick Saban.
Despite that relationship, it hasn't led to many Alabama players being selected by the Dallas Cowboys. Perhaps, that should tell us something.
One other factor that could be in play with Davis is dependent upon who the defensive coordinator is in 2019. We all know that Rod Marinelli doesn't place premium draft value on defensive tackles, but prefers to find diamonds in the rough to develop.
If Kris Richard takes over as the defensive coordinator in 2019, the story could be a bit different. Seattle, with Richard at the defensive helm, selected defensive tackles in the second round of the 2016 and 2017 NFL Drafts.
If the Dallas Cowboys are going to spend a first on a defensive tackle, this is the guy to do it on.
He was highly productive as a sophomore for the Crimson Tide, racking up 69 total tackles, 10 tackles for loss and 8.5 sacks. He also had one interception that was returned for 19 yards. At 6-7 306 pounds, he has the size and frame to be an immediate impact player on the Dallas Cowboys interior.
If the Dallas Cowboys choose not to resign David Irving in the 2018 offseason and Maliek Collins doesn't take a step forward, then Davis becomes a real possibility.
Here's what Draftek's Cowboys analyst had to say about Raekwon Davis.
"Alabama's Raekwon Davis has played both DT and DE in the Crimson Tide's 3-man line. He can maintain his gaps against the run when needed, but his primary skill set is using his long arms and strong lower body to use a variety of pass rush moves to win with power and speed.
"One red flag on Davis happened 8/27/17: he was struck in the leg by a stray bullet during the wee hours of Sunday morning at a Tuscaloosa bar (Bar 17) where several shootings have occurred over the past few years. Despite HC Jason Garrett's affinity for Nick Saban coached players, this incident might remove him from the Dallas board."
Long Ball - Dratek.com
Interestingly, Draftek did a second round in this mock and they sent Boston College Safety Lukas Denis to the Dallas Cowboys.
S Jaquan Johnson, Miami
Speaking of safeties, Dan Kadar over at SBNation sent one to the Dallas Cowboys in the form of Jaquan Johnson.
Johnson, from the University of Miami, was very productive in his junior season for the Hurricanes, racking up 96 total tackles, three tackles for loss, a sack and four interceptions. He returned one of those interceptions for a touchdown.
Here are Kadar's thoughts on the second team All-ACC player:
"There was a lot of talk during the draft that the Cowboys were in talks to trade for Earl Thomas. If they want to address safety next draft, Johnson was a second-team all-conference player who some thought would go pro."
Dan Kadar - SB Nation
Obviously, this pick will depend on what happens with Earl Thomas over the next nine months and the development of Xavier Woods, but Johnson will be a name to watch for teams that need a safety.
WR Ahmmon Richards, Miami
Another Hurricane to have on your NFL Draft radars is Wide Receiver Ahmmon Richard, who is going into his junior season at Miami.
The Dallas Cowboys have begun the process of overhauling their wide receiver corp with the departures of Dez Bryant and Brice Butler in the 2018 offseason. In 2019, it's likely that Terrance Williams (contract) and Cole Beasley (age) could be next to go.
That would leave them with Michael Gallup, Allen Hurns, Tavon Austin, Deonte Thompson, Noah Brown, and Cedric Wilson as their WR depth chart. It's certainly a solid group, but adding a talent like Richards could help.
The Draft Wire's Luke Easterling believes, "Richards would be another great addition with impressive size and speed."
In two seasons at Miami, Richards has averaged 18.8 yards per reception, and 68.65 yards per game. He's got deep-threat ability which would combine well with Gallup and Hurns.
WR Collin Johnson, Texas
If Richards doesn't do it for you, then lets head a couple of hours south of Dallas to the University of Texas and Wide Receiver Collin Johnson.
Bleacher Report's Matt Miller has the Dallas Cowboys going with the junior wide receiver and had this to say:
"The Dallas Cowboys made interesting moves at wide receiver in the 2018 draft—trading Ryan Switzer to Oakland, acquiring Tavon Austin from Los Angeles, not selecting a receiver early—and will head into the upcoming season with a need for a playmaker down the field. Texas' Collin Johnson at 6'6" can be the downfield weapon and red-zone nightmare the Cowboys so badly want.
"Johnson does need to improve upon his production from the last two seasons and prove to scouts he can run well enough to separate from NFL defenders, but his size and hands are already getting buzzed about as teams prepare for the upcoming college season."
Matt Miller - Bleacher Report
I'll agree with Miller that Johnson will need to increase upon his production. Some believe that the quarterback limitations in Austin have been a factor, but at the moment, I'm leery of taking a wide receiver from the Big 12 that doesn't have excellent production in the first round of the draft.
✭ ✭ ✭ ✭ ✭
It's obvious from these mock drafts that analysts see the Dallas Cowboys continuing to invest in pass catchers for their offense and that is a reasonable thought.
Obviously, a lot will change between now and next April when the Dallas Cowboys go on the clock, but this gives us a bit of insight on who to watch in this upcoming college football season.
What names will you be watching in college football this season?
Does Marquez White Assault Charge Alter Cowboys Plan in Supplemental Draft?
Last night, it was reported that Dallas Cowboys Cornerback Marquez White has been charged with aggravated assault with a deadly weapon. The incident comes from a traffic confrontation that took place back in October, where White -- according to his camp -- was justified in drawing his weapon for self-defense.
A promising young player that stuck on the Cowboys practice squad in his rookie season, the sixth round pick doesn't need this case hanging over his head as training camp approaches. When considering the timing up against this week's supplemental draft, and the rare crop of defensive back talent available in it, White could soon be fighting for relevance on the Cowboys roster.
Becoming complacent in building one of the best young secondaries in the league won't be an issue for the Cowboys under new Passing Game Coordinator Kris Richard. The Cowboys were relying on White to be a depth option behind projected starters Byron Jones, Chidobe Awuzie, and Jourdan Lewis.
White's spot on the depth chart may very well hold up, but by the end of the week he could also have added competition in Adonis Alexander or Sam Beal.
Respectively, the former Virginia Tech and Western Michigan cornerbacks are two of the most talented supplemental prospects to enter the draft in years -- both likely to be the first players drafted since 2015.
Alexander and Beal are also joined by Mississippi State Safety Brandon Bryant as another backup option for Dallas.
A lengthy cornerback with the toughness to play on the boundary, Alexander is a similar player to White, and one that Richard should love for his physical traits. Whether or not this natural skill outweighs some maturity issues that saw Alexander fall from freshman starter to suspended at VT will determine if the Cowboys feel comfortable sending away a 2019 draft pick for his services.
Where Alexander's career leaves his arrow trending downward on the eve of the supplemental draft, Beal is a rising prospect that some are calling the best to ever enter this draft.
An all-conference cornerback as a Junior out of Western Michigan, Beal improved with each passing college season, determined to finish out his degree along the way. However, once Beal's eligibility for his Senior season was called into question, the feisty 6'1" CB decided to turn towards the NFL.
Beal's professional football faith is now in the hands of any team that's done their homework on him. Projected to be taken as early as the third round, teams impressed by Beal's tape could be giving away a premium pick in next year's draft to add him just before training camp.
Should this team be the Cowboys, Beal's presence would put more than just White on notice. The Cowboys are also expecting corners like Duke Thomas and Kam Kelly to fight for roster spots. In a perfect world, say the one the Cowboys were living in yesterday before this White news broke, Thomas or Kelly could replace White on the practice squad as the Florida State product took another jump in Oxnard.
As I've written before though, teams must be relentless in their search for talent. The Cowboys have drafted well, but passed on big name free agents in recent years. The result is a young roster full of potential and ready to compete.
If either Adonis Alexander, Sam Beal, or even Brandon Bryant help them do so this year, we could be right here talking about a new Cowboys rookie in the middle of July. Marquez White would be happy to see this talk overshadow his legal situation for the moment.
This won't be the case when he's competing against another player that will likely cost the Cowboys more than the sixth round pick they invested in him two years ago.
Have the Dallas Cowboys Overcome Their 2nd-Round Curse?
You may not be aware or maybe you've simply forgotten, but the Dallas Cowboys have struggled drafting players in the 2nd-round who can come in and contribute. Typically players drafted this highly are not only immediate contributors as a rookie, but are cornerstone players for years to come. That hasn't been the case for the Cowboys.
I don't know where you stand, but I was beginning to think the Dallas Cowboys were cursed with their 2nd-round draft picks. I know this was an area where they would gamble on players for some reason or another, but unfortunately it never really paid off. Hopefully, things are changing for the better.
Let's take a look back at past drafts to see what I'm talking about.
Past 2nd-Round Draft Picks Dating Back to 2006:
2018 Connor Williams
2017 Chidobe Awuzie
2016 Jaylon Smith
2015 Randy Gregory
2014 DeMarcus Lawrence
2013 Gavin Escobar
2012 (no selection) used to trade for Morris Claiborne
2011 Bruce Carter
2010 Sean Lee
2009 (no selection) traded out of 2nd-round
2008 Martellus Bennett
2007 (no selection) used to trade back into 1st for Anthony Spencer
2006 Anthony Fasano
You may be wondering why I decided to start all the way back in 2006. Well, I believe that's when the 2nd-round draft picks curse started for the Dallas Cowboys.
Anthony Fasano ended up having a solid career in the NFL, but he never lived up to his draft status as a former 2nd-round draft pick. The same can be said for Martellus Bennett, Gavin Escobar, and Bruce Carter. Shed a tear for them if you want, but I'd put them in the "bust" category.
The sad truth is, Sean Lee is the only 2nd-round draft pick on this list to ever see a second contract with the Dallas Cowboys. Although, I guess you can include DeMarcus Lawrence since he will be playing under the franchise tag in 2018. But, that's still not a very good hit percentage in the 2nd-round for more than a decade. Luckily, it looks as if things are changing.
DeMarcus Lawrence might end up being another "hit" for the Cowboys. It may have taken him four years to reach his potential, but there's no denying how dominant he was last season. If he can maintain that dominance this season, he could be looking at a big payday from the Cowboys.
The Dallas Cowboys took a risk on the next two players they drafted after D-Law. They knew Randy Gregory had his off the field issues, but were willing to take a chance on his talent in the 2nd-round. That has yet to pay off, but Gregory has a chance to rebound now that it looks as if he has his life back in order.
The Cowboys took another risk in the following draft when they drafted Jaylon Smith. No one knew if he would ever be able to play again after the devastating knee injury he sustained in his final collegiate game, but it's looking as if he could make a full recovery and return to his pre-injury form. Year 3 will be big for him, but he could end up being an absolute steal.
Fortunately, the Cowboys 2017 and 2018 2nd-round draft picks (Chidobe Awuzie and Connor Williams) look to be cornerstone players for years to come. That's what you're looking for in players drafted this highly.
I say all of this because it's really looking like the Dallas Cowboys have finally broken their 2nd-round curse. Maybe it's a change in draft philosophy or maybe it's because Will McClay's voice carries more weight in the draft room, but it's definitely good news for the future of the franchise. Hopefully it continues.
Do you think the Dallas Cowboys 2nd-round curse has ended?
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