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NFL Draft

2016 Cowboys Draft: Possible Trade Scenarios #6

Tommy Simon

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Cowboys Blog - Dallas Cowboys 2016 Draft Order: Week 15 Update

The Cowboys have historically been active on draft day. This year they are likely to be even more so. In this series we will take a look at different scenarios that could play out on draft day. This is the sixth of a ten part series that looks at possible draft combinations that make plausible sense.

Determining possible trade scenarios is difficult because, you have to find trade partners willing to deal with you. Second, you have to get or give enough value to make it worth the trade. So as we look at the scenarios, we first need to make a few assumptions. These are:

  1. For each scenario we need to find a partner that has a need that they may want to go up for. We will analyze the win for each team in those trades.
  2. The article uses the widely distributed Draft Value Chart to determine trades that somewhat have equal value. When there is a point difference, the team moving up will typically be the one overpaying to make the trade happen.
  3. We assume the Cowboys strategy will be to move down to pick up additional picks.

Scenario six will build on the scenario five scenario. It will be a trade down to the 7th pick, but the Cowboys don’t get what they want and trade down again to pick up a second rounder. The trades are:

  • Cowboys dropping down to the 7th pick to get San Francisco’s 68th and 105th picks.
  • Trade the 7th pick to the Raiders for pick number 14th and the 44th.
  • Trade their 101st, 135th, and 189th for the Steelers 89th.

We looked at the trade down to 7 in the last article. The Cowboys would be hoping that one of the top two QBs, Ramsey or Jack fall to them at 7. Zeke would be the backup in case everyone is off the board.

But in this scenario, let’s assume that the worst case happened and everyone they wanted is off the board at seven. The Cowboys had a board with Bosa, Lawson, Stanley or Hargreaves is the choice. For our trade to happen, the Raiders would have to be enamored with one of them.

The Cowboys would have a gluttony of picks if they make these first two trades, so they want to get back into the third round for a starting caliber player. They use three picks to do this. It is a good move for the Steelers who need depth and it would let the Cowboys get another A-/B+ player.

In this scenario the Cowboys would wind up with the 14th, 34th, 44th, 67th, 68th, 89th, 105th, 212th, 216th, and 217th in this scenario. That means they will have 7 of the top 105 picks.

Here are many possible draft combinations under this scenario. Let’s look at a few of them:

Pick Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Dream 1 Dream 2
14 Leonard Floyd
(OLB)
S. Rankins
(DT3)
R. Ragland
(MLB)
L. Treadwell
(WR)
Shaq Lawson
(DE)
V. Hargreaves
(CB)
34 J. Bullard
(DE/DT)
K. Dodd
(DE)
E. Ogbah
(DE)
Butler
(DT)
Will Jackson
(CB)
R. Nkemdiche
(DT)
44 Artie Burns
(CB)
Vonn Bell
(S)
Chris Jones
(DT)
K. Fuller
(CB)
J. Bullard
(DE/DT)
W. Fuller
(WR)
67

 

Nick Martin
(C/G)
Nick Martin
(C/G)
Xavien Howard
(CB)
Carl Nassib
(DE)
Shepard
(WR)
Nick Martin
(C/G)
68 Boyd
(WR)
Boyd
(WR)
Keanu Neal
(S)
Dixon
(RB)
Dixon
(RB)
Booker
(RB)
89 Dion Jones
(OLB)
Maurice Canady
(CB)
Jonathan Williams
(RB)
Jalen Mills
(DB)
Dion Jones
(OLB)
Jeremy Cash
(SS)
105 Prosise
(RB)
Drake
(RB)
K. Listenbee
(WR)
C. McGovern
(C/G)
Miles Killebrew
(SS)
Ronald Blair
(DE)
212 Tyvis Powell
(S)
Tyvis Powell
(S)
Tyrone Holmes
(DE)
Anthony Zettel
(DE)
Tyrone Holmes
(DE)
Tyrone Holmes
(DE)
216 Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
217 Brandon Allen
(QB)
Brandon Allen
(QB)
Kevin Hogan
(QB)
Kevin Hogan
(QB)
Jacoby Brissett
(QB)
Brandon Doughty
(QB)

 

To me this scenario enforces my original thoughts that the Cpwboys should trade down to 12-15 if they are going to trade down. They get a similar caliber player than they would in the 7-9 range, but they get much more value in return.

It also confirms that the Cowboys could trade back to 7 and wait for the draft to come to them. If a player they want falls to them, then it worked out perfectly. If all the players they want are gone, they can still trade back and stock pile picks.

The first mock for this scenario we take the best edge rusher in this draft. He is a top 10 talent and has the potential for a 15 sack season. Floyd is drastically undervalued and would make a difference immediately for the Cowboys. I realize he is probably a better fit for a 34 scheme, but he would be the strong side linebacker and on passing downs be a pass rush specialist. As a linebacker, I watched tape where he covered a running back 30 yards down field and had a pass defense. So he can play the 20-25 plays the Cowboys are in base formation, then he can rush 20 plays again as a DE.

To continue the mock, the Cowboys get Bullard, who can play DE and the three tech. He is disruptive and would add depth to the D-Line. Artie Burns is long, athletic corner who would be a starter by years end. Martin and Boyd would provide depth at key offensive positions. Boyd may not be there, Shepard may also be an option if not. Dion Jones has the potential to be an all-pro caliber Will. Prosise provides the third down/change of pace back the Cowboys need. In the sixth, the Cowboys get a tall, rangy safety, fullback, and quarterback they can develop.

In the second mock, the Cowboys get an explosively quick three technique, followed by a DE that will be a natural left DE. They then get a starting quality safety with the third pick. Next they move to the offense and get a future starting center and receiver (Martin and Boyd). They then get a talented corner with upside (Canady). Drake is a third down nightmare for defenses and will contribute right away. The sixth round is the same with a safety, fullback and QB.

In option three, the Cowboys decide to draft their MLB of the future. They continue to address their defensive needs with picks 2-5. They draft an athletic DE, the quickest DT off the snap (Jones), a physical corner (Howard), and a rising safety (Neal). They come back and add depth to the offense with a talented running back (Howard) and speedy receiver (Listenbee). The Cowboys get an interesting DE prospect in the sixth, along with a fullback and developmental QB with a high IQ and upside.

In the fourth mock, the Cowboys get the number one receiver in the draft. They then draft a disruptive DT that can play the one and the three. Fuller is not my favorite player, but many scouts have him rated highly on their boards. The Cowboys do get a starting caliber DE in Nassib who was a very prolific sacker in college. I think Dixon will be there in the early third and would be a good pick up for the Cowboys. Mills is another player that is not a personal favorite, but he does give you athleticism and versatility. McGovern will be your starting center within the next two to three years. Zettel is a hard working DE that could probably add weight and play the three tech. he has an outstanding motor.

In the dream option, Shaq Lawson falls to 14th. Some teams are concerned with his athleticism and health. So it is a possibility. Jackson could fall, he is all over the place on scouts boards. It would take some luck but it is not implausible. The rest of the picks are in line with where they should go in the draft.

In dream option two, Hargreaves falls to 14. This could happen. Some teams will not draft small corners. So he could fall to 14. Same goes for Nkemdiche. There are a lot of teams that will not have him on their boards. So if the cards fall correctly, he may be there. It might be the best place for him as far as effort goes. He will be pushed. Getting Fuller with the 44th could be a stretch, but there are other receivers that could fall. Martin and Booker would be good gets in the early third. Cash is falling in many boards because of his over aggressiveness and cover skills. However, I love him. Watch his tape, he is the best hitter in the draft. Blair and Homes give you an interesting pair at DE. They can get to the QB.

That all for scenario 6. Let me know your thoughts. Who would you pick, which mock do you like or dislike. Do you like this mock better or worse than the previous five scenarios? Which is your favorite?

I appreciate your feedback and comments. Keep them coming.

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Tommy Simon is an entrepreneur, writer, speaker and sports enthusiast. He is currently CEO of TechBAA, an investor and board member of TPC Technical and CommunitesFIrst, and acting CFO for ALS Communities. In addition to investing and advising companies, Tommy is also a Sales Management coach and is working with companies as a Fractional CMO/CSO. Tommy is a life long football player, coach and Cowboy fan. He currently coaches and sponsors several 7 on 7 teams. He manages/coaches an adult flag football team that is the top team in Florida one of the highest ranked teams in the country. Tommy's hobbies include international travel, fantasy football, reading, and engaging in intelligent political discourse. He is married to a wonderful women for 18 years; which is the best thing he has ever accomplished. He has a dog that is the best dog ever. He also has 9 siblings and roughly 30 nieces and nephews. For more information about tommy, or to request him to speak, please contact him at info@techbaa.com

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2 Comments
  • Lee

    Cant trade pick#135 in the 4th rd. its a compensatory pick.

    • http://www.techbaa.com Tommy Simon

      Good point. I completely forgot that. Thanks for bringing to my attention, I will correct

      Tommy Simon 407 489 4032

NFL Draft

The 1 Player Cowboys Should Consider Trading Up For

Kevin Brady

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1

The Dallas Cowboys enter the 2018 NFL Draft needing help in multiple areas. Of course, they could use new blood on the interior of their defensive line, in their linebacker corps, and in their receiver room. Their most important need to fill in the first round, however, seems to be left guard.

If the Cowboys could find an immediate starter at left guard, a dominant player who can function as an effective run blocker and allow Dak Prescott to trust his left side once again, their offense would be back in business. We typically think of the Cowboys offense, and their line in particular, as a strength. But down the stretch in 2017 that simply wasn't the case.

As I've discussed before, there should be realistic options available with the 19th overall selection, particularly Georgia guard Isiah Wynn. There is one player in this NFL Draft class they should consider moving up for if the price is right, though.

That player is Notre Dame guard Quenton Nelson.

Make no mistake, Quenton Nelson is the best prospect in the 2018 NFL Draft class. He is a massive, yet athletic interior offensive lineman who cemented himself as the best guard in college football during his senior season with the Fighting Irish.

Nelson plays with an edge that you love from offensive linemen, especially from those you will be asking to run block often. He doesn't just open holes, he embarrasses defensive tackles. He doesn't just smartly use body positioning and footwork, he finishes his blocks and snatches souls. Plus, he shows the athleticism and agility to get to the second level to seal off linebackers.

Quenton Nelson works well in pass protection as well. Often labeled a weakness in his game coming out of high school, Nelson has shown vast improvements in his footwork, awareness, and balance in his pass set while at Notre Dame. He would be a day one starter in Dallas, and would take the Cowboys' offensive line back to their 2014-2016 form.

But how realistic is it that the Cowboys would move up for Nelson?

Well, not very realistic at all. In fact, I'd say it's more likely the Cowboys move back to take Will Hernandez or Isaiah Wynn than it is they give away future assets in such a Day Two-rich draft. If, for some reason, Quenton Nelson falls to around the 12th overall pick however, there could be an opening for the Cowboys to come up and snag him.

I don't condone trading up often whatsoever, but Notre Dame guard Quenton Nelson leads a very short list of players I'd move up for if I were the Cowboys. Trading up for a guard seems like flawed logic, but considering the importance and impact he would have for this team, Quenton Nelson is well worth it.

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NFL Draft

Sean’s Scout: Iowa LB Josey Jewell A Hard-Hitting Depth Option

Sean Martin

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Sean's Scout: Iowa LB Josey Jewell A Hard-Hitting Option for Depth

Much of what the Dallas Cowboys do at the linebacker position this offseason will be determined by their confidence in Jaylon Smith, which has not wavered since drafting him in the second round in 2016 - making his NFL debut this season. With Anthony Hitchens set to hit free agency and Sean Lee not getting any younger though, the Cowboys could use an injection of youth at LB.

The 2017 Draft marked the first time the Cowboys did not select a linebacker since 2004 (!), making it that much more of a priority this offseason. Should they target a mid-round option with the ability to step in and contribute right away, Iowa's Josey Jewell makes a ton of sense.

Jewell4 - Streamable

Check out this video on Streamable using your phone, tablet or desktop.

"Iowa LB Josey Jewell is an incredibly instinctive player, reacting to plays with a rare mix of balance, burst, and physicality against the run."

This film clip and quote comes from my full scouting report on Josey Jewell at Slant Sports. Playing primarily the MIKE position at Iowa, Jewell will fit best in the NFL at either WILL or SAM - with the versatility to provide depth at both.

With these two LB spots being ones of need for the Cowboys, Jewell would add a enforcing presence to the second level of this defense, the likes of which have been missing in Dallas for some time.

A square player with adequate power in his hands and above average movement ability, Jewell is a magnet for the football against the run.

"...Josey Jewell plays with the stopping power that NFL scouts absolutely love out of any front seven players. Asked to play a lot of MIKE linebacker at Iowa, Jewell will be a physical presence for any defense to add..."

Jewell1 - Streamable

Check out this video on Streamable using your phone, tablet or desktop.

Jewell is not only comfortable around the line of scrimmage as a sure tackler, flashing the ability to shoot gaps with great burst and technique. Jewell may be far from a "pass rusher", but he does attack blockers similarly, coming downhill to disengage violently.

"Jewell plays with textbook technique in pass coverage as well, playing light on his feet with the balance to hang with shifty receivers throughout the down."

Jewell's vertical movement as a WILL linebacker also make him an ideal fit for the Cowboys, as he could develop quickly into a starter on Nickel packages - requiring him to be one of just two LBs on the field.

NFL.com scout Lance Zierlein actually compared Josey Jewell to Sean Lee in his own scouting report. Outplaying his own second round draft status, I believe Jewell has a chance to do the same as a valuable third round grade on my 2018 NFL Draft Board.

"While Josey Jewell’s Iowa tape left no questions about his ability to move backwards with ease and attack forward, his lateral movement leaves some concerns."

It was ultimately Jewell's limitations as a rangy defender that pushed him down into the third round for me, which is an ideal spot for the Dallas Cowboys to be targeting a linebacker in this 2018 Draft. Jewell's floor would make him a noticeable contributor to the Cowboys' defense in year one, a top 100 prospect that should be an NFL starter in the near future.

Tell us what you think about "Sean’s Scout: Iowa LB Josey Jewell A Hard-Hitting Depth Option" in the comments below. You can also email me at Sean.Martin@InsideTheStar.com, or Tweet to me at @SeanMartinNFL!

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NFL Draft

Cowboys Draft: Would Dallas Consider A 1st Round CB?

Kevin Brady

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Cowboys Draft: Would Dallas Consider A 1st

As has been talked about before, the Dallas Cowboys spent a plethora of draft capital on their secondary a year ago. By taking cornerbacks Chidobe Awuzie and Jourdan Lewis with two of their top three picks, and then tripling down at corner with Marquez White on day three, the Cowboys overhauled their aging cornerback group.

While some fans still want the team to add another safety, drafting a cornerback in the first round seems out of the question.

Or is it?

Historically, 19th overall is a bit of an awkward place to be. In most drafts, teams are running out of first round grades, but drafting a player you've graded as a round two talent in the top 20 can feel like a reach. When put in situations such as these, teams like to trade back, acquire future assets, and feel more comfortable about where they're taking the player they want. The problem is, of course, that you need a team to want to move up to your spot.

Obviously there's a chance the Cowboys are completely cleaned out at receiver and linebacker by the time their on the clock. Regardless of the scenario, taking Georgia guard Isaiah Wynn is my plan A, but the team may feel differently.

I currently have four cornerbacks with first round, or late first-to-early second round grades. This list includes Ohio State's Denzel Ward, Louisville's Jaire Alexander, UCF's Mike Hughes, and Iowa's Josh Jackson. All four are deserving of first round consideration, but in the right situation, I'd have to think long and hard about taking the first three 19th overall.

All three are phenomenal players who should make an impact during their rookie seasons, but the question the Cowboys would have to ask themselves is: "do we have a place for this player?" Sunday Morning Wishlist: DAL Cowboys @ NY Giants 1

Awuzie looks like the CB1 of the future, and Lewis could be effective on the outside as well. Ward, Alexander, and Hughes are all shorter cornerbacks and wouldn't be too much of a change from what the Cowboys already have on the back-end. Still, Orlando Scandrick may be done in Dallas, and Anthony Brown provided more questions than answers during his Sophomore season.

The Cowboys could be put in a situation similar to that of the 2017 NFL Draft. When they finally got on the clock, they only had one first round grade remaining. That player was reportedly running back Dalvin Cook, and considering they had selected Ezekiel Elliott the year before, Cook wasn't ever an option.

I have to wonder that because of how last offseason went, if the Cowboys would even think of taking a cornerback early on in the 2018 NFL Draft.

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