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NFL Draft

2016 Cowboys Draft: Possible Trade Scenarios #6

Tommy Simon

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Cowboys Blog - Dallas Cowboys 2016 Draft Order: Week 15 Update

The Cowboys have historically been active on draft day. This year they are likely to be even more so. In this series we will take a look at different scenarios that could play out on draft day. This is the sixth of a ten part series that looks at possible draft combinations that make plausible sense.

Determining possible trade scenarios is difficult because, you have to find trade partners willing to deal with you. Second, you have to get or give enough value to make it worth the trade. So as we look at the scenarios, we first need to make a few assumptions. These are:

  1. For each scenario we need to find a partner that has a need that they may want to go up for. We will analyze the win for each team in those trades.
  2. The article uses the widely distributed Draft Value Chart to determine trades that somewhat have equal value. When there is a point difference, the team moving up will typically be the one overpaying to make the trade happen.
  3. We assume the Cowboys strategy will be to move down to pick up additional picks.

Scenario six will build on the scenario five scenario. It will be a trade down to the 7th pick, but the Cowboys don’t get what they want and trade down again to pick up a second rounder. The trades are:

  • Cowboys dropping down to the 7th pick to get San Francisco’s 68th and 105th picks.
  • Trade the 7th pick to the Raiders for pick number 14th and the 44th.
  • Trade their 101st, 135th, and 189th for the Steelers 89th.

We looked at the trade down to 7 in the last article. The Cowboys would be hoping that one of the top two QBs, Ramsey or Jack fall to them at 7. Zeke would be the backup in case everyone is off the board.

But in this scenario, let’s assume that the worst case happened and everyone they wanted is off the board at seven. The Cowboys had a board with Bosa, Lawson, Stanley or Hargreaves is the choice. For our trade to happen, the Raiders would have to be enamored with one of them.

The Cowboys would have a gluttony of picks if they make these first two trades, so they want to get back into the third round for a starting caliber player. They use three picks to do this. It is a good move for the Steelers who need depth and it would let the Cowboys get another A-/B+ player.

In this scenario the Cowboys would wind up with the 14th, 34th, 44th, 67th, 68th, 89th, 105th, 212th, 216th, and 217th in this scenario. That means they will have 7 of the top 105 picks.

Here are many possible draft combinations under this scenario. Let’s look at a few of them:

Pick Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Dream 1 Dream 2
14 Leonard Floyd
(OLB)
S. Rankins
(DT3)
R. Ragland
(MLB)
L. Treadwell
(WR)
Shaq Lawson
(DE)
V. Hargreaves
(CB)
34 J. Bullard
(DE/DT)
K. Dodd
(DE)
E. Ogbah
(DE)
Butler
(DT)
Will Jackson
(CB)
R. Nkemdiche
(DT)
44 Artie Burns
(CB)
Vonn Bell
(S)
Chris Jones
(DT)
K. Fuller
(CB)
J. Bullard
(DE/DT)
W. Fuller
(WR)
67

 

Nick Martin
(C/G)
Nick Martin
(C/G)
Xavien Howard
(CB)
Carl Nassib
(DE)
Shepard
(WR)
Nick Martin
(C/G)
68 Boyd
(WR)
Boyd
(WR)
Keanu Neal
(S)
Dixon
(RB)
Dixon
(RB)
Booker
(RB)
89 Dion Jones
(OLB)
Maurice Canady
(CB)
Jonathan Williams
(RB)
Jalen Mills
(DB)
Dion Jones
(OLB)
Jeremy Cash
(SS)
105 Prosise
(RB)
Drake
(RB)
K. Listenbee
(WR)
C. McGovern
(C/G)
Miles Killebrew
(SS)
Ronald Blair
(DE)
212 Tyvis Powell
(S)
Tyvis Powell
(S)
Tyrone Holmes
(DE)
Anthony Zettel
(DE)
Tyrone Holmes
(DE)
Tyrone Holmes
(DE)
216 Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
Derek Watt
(FB)
217 Brandon Allen
(QB)
Brandon Allen
(QB)
Kevin Hogan
(QB)
Kevin Hogan
(QB)
Jacoby Brissett
(QB)
Brandon Doughty
(QB)

 

To me this scenario enforces my original thoughts that the Cpwboys should trade down to 12-15 if they are going to trade down. They get a similar caliber player than they would in the 7-9 range, but they get much more value in return.

It also confirms that the Cowboys could trade back to 7 and wait for the draft to come to them. If a player they want falls to them, then it worked out perfectly. If all the players they want are gone, they can still trade back and stock pile picks.

The first mock for this scenario we take the best edge rusher in this draft. He is a top 10 talent and has the potential for a 15 sack season. Floyd is drastically undervalued and would make a difference immediately for the Cowboys. I realize he is probably a better fit for a 34 scheme, but he would be the strong side linebacker and on passing downs be a pass rush specialist. As a linebacker, I watched tape where he covered a running back 30 yards down field and had a pass defense. So he can play the 20-25 plays the Cowboys are in base formation, then he can rush 20 plays again as a DE.

To continue the mock, the Cowboys get Bullard, who can play DE and the three tech. He is disruptive and would add depth to the D-Line. Artie Burns is long, athletic corner who would be a starter by years end. Martin and Boyd would provide depth at key offensive positions. Boyd may not be there, Shepard may also be an option if not. Dion Jones has the potential to be an all-pro caliber Will. Prosise provides the third down/change of pace back the Cowboys need. In the sixth, the Cowboys get a tall, rangy safety, fullback, and quarterback they can develop.

In the second mock, the Cowboys get an explosively quick three technique, followed by a DE that will be a natural left DE. They then get a starting quality safety with the third pick. Next they move to the offense and get a future starting center and receiver (Martin and Boyd). They then get a talented corner with upside (Canady). Drake is a third down nightmare for defenses and will contribute right away. The sixth round is the same with a safety, fullback and QB.

In option three, the Cowboys decide to draft their MLB of the future. They continue to address their defensive needs with picks 2-5. They draft an athletic DE, the quickest DT off the snap (Jones), a physical corner (Howard), and a rising safety (Neal). They come back and add depth to the offense with a talented running back (Howard) and speedy receiver (Listenbee). The Cowboys get an interesting DE prospect in the sixth, along with a fullback and developmental QB with a high IQ and upside.

In the fourth mock, the Cowboys get the number one receiver in the draft. They then draft a disruptive DT that can play the one and the three. Fuller is not my favorite player, but many scouts have him rated highly on their boards. The Cowboys do get a starting caliber DE in Nassib who was a very prolific sacker in college. I think Dixon will be there in the early third and would be a good pick up for the Cowboys. Mills is another player that is not a personal favorite, but he does give you athleticism and versatility. McGovern will be your starting center within the next two to three years. Zettel is a hard working DE that could probably add weight and play the three tech. he has an outstanding motor.

In the dream option, Shaq Lawson falls to 14th. Some teams are concerned with his athleticism and health. So it is a possibility. Jackson could fall, he is all over the place on scouts boards. It would take some luck but it is not implausible. The rest of the picks are in line with where they should go in the draft.

In dream option two, Hargreaves falls to 14. This could happen. Some teams will not draft small corners. So he could fall to 14. Same goes for Nkemdiche. There are a lot of teams that will not have him on their boards. So if the cards fall correctly, he may be there. It might be the best place for him as far as effort goes. He will be pushed. Getting Fuller with the 44th could be a stretch, but there are other receivers that could fall. Martin and Booker would be good gets in the early third. Cash is falling in many boards because of his over aggressiveness and cover skills. However, I love him. Watch his tape, he is the best hitter in the draft. Blair and Homes give you an interesting pair at DE. They can get to the QB.

That all for scenario 6. Let me know your thoughts. Who would you pick, which mock do you like or dislike. Do you like this mock better or worse than the previous five scenarios? Which is your favorite?

I appreciate your feedback and comments. Keep them coming.



Tommy Simon is an entrepreneur, writer, speaker and sports enthusiast. He is currently CEO of TechBAA, an investor and board member of TPC Technical and CommunitesFIrst, and acting CFO for ALS Communities. In addition to investing and advising companies, Tommy is also a Sales Management coach and is working with companies as a Fractional CMO/CSO. Tommy is a life long football player, coach and Cowboy fan. He currently coaches and sponsors several 7 on 7 teams. He manages/coaches an adult flag football team that is the top team in Florida one of the highest ranked teams in the country. Tommy's hobbies include international travel, fantasy football, reading, and engaging in intelligent political discourse. He is married to a wonderful women for 18 years; which is the best thing he has ever accomplished. He has a dog that is the best dog ever. He also has 9 siblings and roughly 30 nieces and nephews. For more information about tommy, or to request him to speak, please contact him at info@techbaa.com

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2 Comments
  • Lee

    Cant trade pick#135 in the 4th rd. its a compensatory pick.

    • http://www.techbaa.com Tommy Simon

      Good point. I completely forgot that. Thanks for bringing to my attention, I will correct

      Tommy Simon 407 489 4032

NFL Draft

Looking Ahead to 2019 NFL Mock Drafts, a Pass Catching Theme Persists

John Williams

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Looking Ahead to 2019 NFL Mock Drafts a Theme Persists

The Dallas Cowboys haven't played the 2018 NFL season yet, but that shouldn't stop us from looking ahead to the 2019 NFL Draft and seeing what players the team will have their eye on this fall.

With the NFL season fast approaching, that means the college football season is as well, and as we look through these mocks, perhaps you get an idea of whom to watch with a Cowboys perspective this fall.

I scoured the internet looking for the best and brightest minds and their "way too early 2019 mocks." As I perused the mocks, one thing was clear. Many of the national writers see the Dallas Cowboys going with an offensive pass catcher in the 2019 NFL Draft. Namely a TE.

TE Noah Fant, Iowa

Noah Fant, from the University of Iowa, will be a junior in his 2019 season and as a sophomore caught 30 passes for 494 yards (16.5 yards per reception) and 11 touchdowns. The receptions and yardage may not look all that impressive, but if we think about Iowa's offense in the Big 10, we can understand that he's not going to get many opportunities to catch the ball when the team is running it as often as they do.

In fact, the Hawkeyes ran the ball 10 more times per game than they threw it and their quarterback only completed - on average - 15 passes a game.

Fant accounted for 21% of the receiving yards on the season and 42% of the passing touchdowns. He was only 36 yards away from leading the team in receiving despite catching 21 fewer passes than leader Nick Easley. No other pass catcher for Iowa had more than four receiving touchdowns.

If there's something not to like at the moment about Fant, it's his size.

At the moment, College Football Reference has him listed at 232 pounds. There are running backs that weigh more than Fant does and he'll probably need to add about 10-20 pounds in the NFL to be an effective in-line blocker.

Mocked to the Dallas Cowboys by Dane Brugler of The Draft Show on DallasCowboys.com. In a mock draft he did for Sports Day DFW and the Dallas Morning News, he had this to say.

"It is now the post-Witten era in Dallas and unless a tight end on the roster emerges this season, the position could be high on the wish list next offseason. His athleticism makes Fant an appealing up-and-coming prospect."

Dane Brugler - Sports Day DFW, Dallas Morning News

Eric Galko of The Sporting News selected the Iowa tight end to the Cowboys as well, seeing him as a special prospect that has the chance to fill the shoes of Jason Witten.

Ben Standig of NBC Sports Washington also had Noah Fant to the Cowboys, thinking they are in need of a Jason Witten replacement.

DE Austin Bryant, Clemson

Depending on what Dallas can get out of Right Defensive Ends Tyrone Crawford, Randy Gregory, Dorance Armstrong, and Charles Tapper, it could have the Cowboys taking a defensive end in the first round for the second time in three years.

Will Brinson's mock doesn't offer much analysis on Bryant, mostly saying that Clemson is going to be good. But here's what Draftek.com's Brett Clancy, who covers the 49ers, had to say about Bryant:

"Clemson's Austin Bryant is the 4th EDGE off the board in this mock and 2nd from his school, but he's still well worth a mid-round pick. Bryant broke out with 8.5 sacks as a junior last year and many thought he'd go pro. I like Bryant's move to stay in school and refine his game, specifically growing a repertoire of pass rush moves to complement his strong edge-setting ability."

Brett Clancy - Draftek.com

Bryant was amazingly disruptive for the Clemson Tigers as a junior, racking up 50 total tackles, 15.5 tackles for loss, and 8.5 sacks. At 6-5 265, he could come in and play right defensive end for the Dallas Cowboys on day one.

DT Raekwon Davis, Alabama

We know that the Dallas Cowboys have an affinity for Power 5 prospects and Jason Garrett goes back with Nick Saban.

Despite that relationship, it hasn't led to many Alabama players being selected by the Dallas Cowboys. Perhaps, that should tell us something.

One other factor that could be in play with Davis is dependent upon who the defensive coordinator is in 2019. We all know that Rod Marinelli doesn't place premium draft value on defensive tackles, but prefers to find diamonds in the rough to develop.

If Kris Richard takes over as the defensive coordinator in 2019, the story could be a bit different. Seattle, with Richard at the defensive helm, selected defensive tackles in the second round of the 2016 and 2017 NFL Drafts.

If the Dallas Cowboys are going to spend a first on a defensive tackle, this is the guy to do it on.

He was highly productive as a sophomore for the Crimson Tide, racking up 69 total tackles, 10 tackles for loss and 8.5 sacks. He also had one interception that was returned for 19 yards. At 6-7 306 pounds, he has the size and frame to be an immediate impact player on the Dallas Cowboys interior.

If the Dallas Cowboys choose not to resign David Irving in the 2018 offseason and Maliek Collins doesn't take a step forward, then Davis becomes a real possibility.

Here's what Draftek's Cowboys analyst had to say about Raekwon Davis.

"Alabama's Raekwon Davis has played both DT and DE in the Crimson Tide's 3-man line. He can maintain his gaps against the run when needed, but his primary skill set is using his long arms and strong lower body to use a variety of pass rush moves to win with power and speed. 

"One red flag on Davis happened 8/27/17: he was struck in the leg by a stray bullet during the wee hours of Sunday morning at a Tuscaloosa bar (Bar 17) where several shootings have occurred over the past few years. Despite HC Jason Garrett's affinity for Nick Saban coached players, this incident might remove him from the Dallas board."

Long Ball - Dratek.com

Interestingly, Draftek did a second round in this mock and they sent Boston College Safety Lukas Denis to the Dallas Cowboys.

S Jaquan Johnson, Miami

Speaking of safeties, Dan Kadar over at SBNation sent one to the Dallas Cowboys in the form of Jaquan Johnson.

Johnson, from the University of Miami, was very productive in his junior season for the Hurricanes, racking up 96 total tackles, three tackles for loss, a sack and four interceptions. He returned one of those interceptions for a touchdown.

Here are Kadar's thoughts on the second team All-ACC player:

"There was a lot of talk during the draft that the Cowboys were in talks to trade for Earl Thomas. If they want to address safety next draft, Johnson was a second-team all-conference player who some thought would go pro."

Dan Kadar - SB Nation

Obviously, this pick will depend on what happens with Earl Thomas over the next nine months and the development of Xavier Woods, but Johnson will be a name to watch for teams that need a safety.

Looking Ahead to 2019 NFL Mock Drafts a Theme Persists 2

Miami Hurricanes WR Ahmmon Richards

WR Ahmmon Richards, Miami

Another Hurricane to have on your NFL Draft radars is Wide Receiver Ahmmon Richard, who is going into his junior season at Miami.

The Dallas Cowboys have begun the process of overhauling their wide receiver corp with the departures of Dez Bryant and Brice Butler in the 2018 offseason. In 2019, it's likely that Terrance Williams (contract) and Cole Beasley (age) could be next to go.

That would leave them with Michael Gallup, Allen Hurns, Tavon Austin, Deonte Thompson, Noah Brown, and Cedric Wilson as their WR depth chart. It's certainly a solid group, but adding a talent like Richards could help.

The Draft Wire's Luke Easterling believes, "Richards would be another great addition with impressive size and speed."

In two seasons at Miami, Richards has averaged 18.8 yards per reception, and 68.65 yards per game. He's got deep-threat ability which would combine well with Gallup and Hurns.

WR Collin Johnson, Texas

If Richards doesn't do it for you, then lets head a couple of hours south of Dallas to the University of Texas and Wide Receiver Collin Johnson.

Bleacher Report's Matt Miller has the Dallas Cowboys going with the junior wide receiver and had this to say:

"The Dallas Cowboys made interesting moves at wide receiver in the 2018 draft—trading Ryan Switzer to Oakland, acquiring Tavon Austin from Los Angeles, not selecting a receiver early—and will head into the upcoming season with a need for a playmaker down the field. Texas' Collin Johnson at 6'6" can be the downfield weapon and red-zone nightmare the Cowboys so badly want.

"Johnson does need to improve upon his production from the last two seasons and prove to scouts he can run well enough to separate from NFL defenders, but his size and hands are already getting buzzed about as teams prepare for the upcoming college season."

Matt Miller - Bleacher Report

I'll agree with Miller that Johnson will need to increase upon his production. Some believe that the quarterback limitations in Austin have been a factor, but at the moment, I'm leery of taking a wide receiver from the Big 12 that doesn't have excellent production in the first round of the draft.

✭ ✭ ✭ ✭ ✭

It's obvious from these mock drafts that analysts see the Dallas Cowboys continuing to invest in pass catchers for their offense and that is a reasonable thought.

Obviously, a lot will change between now and next April when the Dallas Cowboys go on the clock, but this gives us a bit of insight on who to watch in this upcoming college football season.

What names will you be watching in college football this season?



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NFL Draft

Does Marquez White Assault Charge Alter Cowboys Plan in Supplemental Draft?

Sean Martin

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Does Marquez White Assault Charge Alter Cowboys Plan in Supplemental Draft?

Last night, it was reported that Dallas Cowboys Cornerback Marquez White has been charged with aggravated assault with a deadly weapon. The incident comes from a traffic confrontation that took place back in October, where White -- according to his camp -- was justified in drawing his weapon for self-defense.

A promising young player that stuck on the Cowboys practice squad in his rookie season, the sixth round pick doesn't need this case hanging over his head as training camp approaches. When considering the timing up against this week's supplemental draft, and the rare crop of defensive back talent available in it, White could soon be fighting for relevance on the Cowboys roster.

Becoming complacent in building one of the best young secondaries in the league won't be an issue for the Cowboys under new Passing Game Coordinator Kris Richard. The Cowboys were relying on White to be a depth option behind projected starters Byron Jones, Chidobe Awuzie, and Jourdan Lewis.

White's spot on the depth chart may very well hold up, but by the end of the week he could also have added competition in Adonis Alexander or Sam Beal.

Respectively, the former Virginia Tech and Western Michigan cornerbacks are two of the most talented supplemental prospects to enter the draft in years -- both likely to be the first players drafted since 2015.

Alexander and Beal are also joined by Mississippi State Safety Brandon Bryant as another backup option for Dallas.

Supplemental Draft: CB Adonis Alexander A Depth Option for Cowboys? 1

A lengthy cornerback with the toughness to play on the boundary, Alexander is a similar player to White, and one that Richard should love for his physical traits. Whether or not this natural skill outweighs some maturity issues that saw Alexander fall from freshman starter to suspended at VT will determine if the Cowboys feel comfortable sending away a 2019 draft pick for his services.

Where Alexander's career leaves his arrow trending downward on the eve of the supplemental draft, Beal is a rising prospect that some are calling the best to ever enter this draft.

An all-conference cornerback as a Junior out of Western Michigan, Beal improved with each passing college season, determined to finish out his degree along the way. However, once Beal's eligibility for his Senior season was called into question, the feisty 6'1" CB decided to turn towards the NFL.

Beal's professional football faith is now in the hands of any team that's done their homework on him. Projected to be taken as early as the third round, teams impressed by Beal's tape could be giving away a premium pick in next year's draft to add him just before training camp.

Should this team be the Cowboys, Beal's presence would put more than just White on notice. The Cowboys are also expecting corners like Duke Thomas and Kam Kelly to fight for roster spots. In a perfect world, say the one the Cowboys were living in yesterday before this White news broke, Thomas or Kelly could replace White on the practice squad as the Florida State product took another jump in Oxnard.

Cowboys CB Marquez White Could Emerge in 2018

Dallas Cowboys CB Marquez White

As I've written before though, teams must be relentless in their search for talent. The Cowboys have drafted well, but passed on big name free agents in recent years. The result is a young roster full of potential and ready to compete.

If either Adonis Alexander, Sam Beal, or even Brandon Bryant help them do so this year, we could be right here talking about a new Cowboys rookie in the middle of July. Marquez White would be happy to see this talk overshadow his legal situation for the moment.

This won't be the case when he's competing against another player that will likely cost the Cowboys more than the sixth round pick they invested in him two years ago.

Tell us what you think about "Does Marquez White Assault Charge Alter Cowboys Plan in Supplemental Draft?" in the comments below. You can also email me at Sean.Martin@InsideTheStar.com, or Tweet to me at @SeanMartinNFL!



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Dallas Cowboys

Have the Dallas Cowboys Overcome Their 2nd-Round Curse?

Brian Martin

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Have the Dallas Cowboys Overcome Their 2nd-Round Curse?

You may not be aware or maybe you've simply forgotten, but the Dallas Cowboys have struggled drafting players in the 2nd-round who can come in and contribute. Typically players drafted this highly are not only immediate contributors as a rookie, but are cornerstone players for years to come. That hasn't been the case for the Cowboys.

I don't know where you stand, but I was beginning to think the Dallas Cowboys were cursed with their 2nd-round draft picks. I know this was an area where they would gamble on players for some reason or another, but unfortunately it never really paid off. Hopefully, things are changing for the better.

Let's take a look back at past drafts to see what I'm talking about.

Past 2nd-Round Draft Picks Dating Back to 2006:

2018 Connor Williams
2017 Chidobe Awuzie
2016 Jaylon Smith
2015 Randy Gregory
2014 DeMarcus Lawrence
2013 Gavin Escobar
2012 (no selection) used to trade for Morris Claiborne
2011 Bruce Carter
2010 Sean Lee
2009 (no selection) traded out of 2nd-round
2008 Martellus Bennett
2007 (no selection) used to trade back into 1st for Anthony Spencer
2006 Anthony Fasano

You may be wondering why I decided to start all the way back in 2006. Well, I believe that's when the 2nd-round draft picks curse started for the Dallas Cowboys.

Anthony Fasano ended up having a solid career in the NFL, but he never lived up to his draft status as a former 2nd-round draft pick. The same can be said for Martellus Bennett, Gavin Escobar, and Bruce Carter. Shed a tear for them if you want, but I'd put them in the "bust" category.

Sean Lee

Dallas Cowboys LB Sean Lee

The sad truth is, Sean Lee is the only 2nd-round draft pick on this list to ever see a second contract with the Dallas Cowboys. Although, I guess you can include DeMarcus Lawrence since he will be playing under the franchise tag in 2018. But, that's still not a very good hit percentage in the 2nd-round for more than a decade. Luckily, it looks as if things are changing.

DeMarcus Lawrence might end up being another "hit" for the Cowboys. It may have taken him four years to reach his potential, but there's no denying how dominant he was last season. If he can maintain that dominance this season, he could be looking at a big payday from the Cowboys.

The Dallas Cowboys took a risk on the next two players they drafted after D-Law. They knew Randy Gregory had his off the field issues, but were willing to take a chance on his talent in the 2nd-round. That has yet to pay off, but Gregory has a chance to rebound now that it looks as if he has his life back in order.

Jaylon Smith

Dallas Cowboys LB Jaylon Smith

The Cowboys took another risk in the following draft when they drafted Jaylon Smith. No one knew if he would ever be able to play again after the devastating knee injury he sustained in his final collegiate game, but it's looking as if he could make a full recovery and return to his pre-injury form. Year 3 will be big for him, but he could end up being an absolute steal.

Fortunately, the Cowboys 2017 and 2018 2nd-round draft picks (Chidobe Awuzie and Connor Williams) look to be cornerstone players for years to come. That's what you're looking for in players drafted this highly.

I say all of this because it's really looking like the Dallas Cowboys have finally broken their 2nd-round curse. Maybe it's a change in draft philosophy or maybe it's because Will McClay's voice carries more weight in the draft room, but it's definitely good news for the future of the franchise. Hopefully it continues.

Do you think the Dallas Cowboys 2nd-round curse has ended?



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