Connect with us

NFL Draft

2016 Cowboys Draft: Potential Trade Scenario 5

Tommy Simon

Published

on

Cowboys Headlines - Cowboys Draft: No to Ezekiel Elliot, Yes to Devontae Booker 1

The Cowboys have historically been active on the draft day. This year they are likely to be even more so. In this series we will take a look at different scenarios that could play out on draft day. This is the fifth of a ten part series that looks at possible draft combinations that make plausible sense.

Determining possible trade scenarios is difficult because, you have to find trade partners willing to deal with you. Second, you have to get or give enough value to make it worth the trade. So as we look at the scenarios, we first need to make a few assumptions. These are:

  1. For each scenario we need to find a partner that has a need that they may want to go up for. We will analyze the win for each team in those trades.
  2. The article uses the widely distributed Draft Value Chart to determine trades that somewhat have equal value. When there is a point difference, the team moving up will typically be the one overpaying to make the trade happen.
  3. We assume the Cowboys strategy will be to move down to pick up additional picks.

Trade Scenario #5 Will Be:

  • Cowboys dropping down to the 7th pick to get San Francisco’s 68th and 105th picks.
  • Trade the sixth rounder for a 4th or 5th rounder next year.

So let’s break down the first trade. Let’s assume that the 49ers like Goff and he is there after the third pick so they may want to come up and get him. They might think Jacksonville or Baltimore will not draft a QB, but they may also try to trade down with a team that wants to come up and get Goff (Philly perhaps). With these options, the 49ers make the decision to come up and get their QB.

For the Cowboys, they may want to fall down to seven to still be able to get up a top pick, while reducing the salary they need. Perhaps they like Zeke Elliott, or Shaq Lawson, or a QB. The 4 position may be too early to get who they want, but at seven it makes perfect sense.

For sake of simplicity, we are going to assume the Cowboys trade their 5th rounder for a 5th rounder in next year’s draft. After all, how many sixth rounder’s can you have in one year?

In this scenario the Cowboys would wind up with the 7th, 34th, 67th, 68th, 101st, 105th, 135th, 212th, 216th, and 217th in this scenario.

Here are many possible draft combinations under this scenario. Let’s look at some possible combinations:

Pick Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 Dream 1 Dream 2
7 Goff/
Wentz
(QB)
Zeke Elliott
(RB)
Shaq Lawson
(DE)
Hargreaves
(CB)
Myles Jack
(LB)
Ramsey
(DB)
34 Dodd/
Ogbah
(DE)
Will Fuller
(WR)
Clark/
Butler
(DT)
Derrick Henry
(RB)
Will Jackson
(CB)
Noah Spence
(DE)
67 Chris Jones
(DT)
Xavier Howard
(CB)
Dixon
(RB)
Carl Nassib
(DE)
Booker
(RB)
Chris Jones
(DT)
68 Xavier Howard
(CB)
Dion Jones
(LB)
Boyd
(WR)
Braxton Miller
(WR)
S. Shepard
(WR)
Nick Martin
(C/G)
101 K. Listenbee
(WR)
Blair
(DE)
Jalen Mills
(DB)
Jordan Jenkins
(ILB)
Charles Tapper
(DE)
Christian Hackenberg
(QB)
 105 Kenyan Drake
(RB)
Bronson Kaufusi
(DE)
Cyrus Jones
(CB)
Maliek Collins
(DT1)
Sheldon Day
(DT3)
Prosise
(RB)
135 Joe Schobert
(ILB)
D. Thompson
(FS)
Cardale Jones
(QB)
KJ Dillon
(S)
Max Tuerk
(C/G)
Rashard Robinson
(CB)
212 Dan Vitale
(FB)
Dan Vitale
(FB)
Dan Vitale
(FB)
Dan Vitale
(FB)
Dan Vitale
(FB)
Dan Vitale
(FB)
216 Austin Blythe
(C/G)
Austin Blythe
(C/G)
Austin Blythe
(C/G)
Austin Blythe
(C/G)
Tyvis Powell
(FS)
Tyvis Powell
(FS)
217 Tyvis Powell
(S)
B. Allen
(QB)
Tyvis Powell
(S)
Kevin Hogan
(QB)
Brandon Doughty
(QB)
K. Marshall
(RB)

 

First let me say this is my least favorite mockup yet. Don’t get me wrong, I still am a proponent of moving down, if it is down to seven. However, the value gained in the previous scenarios by getting second round picks does not happen by only moving to the seventh pick. If you look at it, you really do not get that much better of a player at 7 as you do moving down to 11-15. So there is more value gained in moving 50 -10 spots, than is saved by only moving down three or four.

The one advantage of this scenario is that there is a good possibility that one of the two top quarterbacks or either Jack or Ramsey will make it to seven. If that happens, then this becomes a very effective approach. With that in mind, let’s talk about each of the six mock drafts.

Our first mock in this scenario one of the two QBs make it to seven. This could happen if Tunsil, Ramsey, Jack, Buckner, Bosa and the other QB are taken with the first seven. This is a pretty likely scenario. Elliott and Stanley could also be picked in the top six so the Cowboys gain picks and still get a future QB.

With the second pick they get the DE which is still the biggest hole the Cowboys have on defense this year. In the third round the Cowboys get a disruptive 3 tech. I am not sure Jones will be there; I have seen him mocked everywhere from early second or late third. With the fourth pick they pick up a physical corner (Howard) who can replace Carr next year. With the 5th pick, they then get a speedy receiver that can stretch the field. Drake is a running back that is a receiver out of the backfield.

Think Dunbar with a little more durability who can also get you 6-8 runs a game, and is a dynamic returner. Schobert is a classically run and hit linebacker. He is underrated and could be a starter given time to build up strength. He would be a great special teams guy and backup his first couple of years. In the sixth, the Cowboys get a fullback, a center/guard whom they can groom, and a tall, rangy safety.

In the second mock, the Cowboys get the best RB in the draft. The beef up the offense again with the second pick, getting Fuller as a starter opposite Bryant. Then the next five picks go defense. They grab Howard to strengthen the CB group. Dion Jones is a star in the making. He can run (4.55) and he can hit which makes him a playmaker. They then go get two DEs to add to the mix (Blair and Kaufusi). With their last fourth round pick they get a touch safety that can make plays (Thompson). In the sixth, they get a QB, a fullback and a C/G to groom.

In option three, the Cowboys decide to get Lawson early. In doing so, they get arguably the best DE in the draft. The Cowboys then take a DT (either Clark or Butler) in the early second. With the third pick they get a starting caliber running back (yes I do think Dixon will last to the third). With the fourth the Cowboys go with a wide receiver who has a lot of upside (Shepard). Mills is probably more of a corner than a safety. He would give the Cowboys flexibility. The Cowboys come back and pick up a slot corner with Cyrus Jones who is also a solid returner. The Cowboys then get a developmental QB with the strongest arm (Jones). They follow this up by getting another safety, a fullback, and a developmental C/G.

In the fourth mock, the Cowboys get the best corner in the draft. He is a polished day one starter. They then get a starting caliber running back that is a game breaker. The third pick is a highly productive DE from Penn St. he would be the starter as a left DE. Miller is an explosive receiver with high upside and would add a new dynamic to the Cowboys offense. Jordan Jenkins is sliding down boards. The Cowboys should be thrilled to get him in the fourth. He is a top 50 talent, he is the right kind of player, and he is a special talent. Collins is a disruptive tackle that can play the one and three. Dillion is slipping down boards, but he is a very talented safety. He would be an immediate contributor. The Cowboys then go get a heady QB, a FB, and a developmental C/G.

The dream mock is unlikely, but possible. If Tunsil goes one, Wentz two, Ramsey three, and the Cowboys trade down to seven so that the 49ers can get Goff at four. Then Jacksonville decides to take Bosa and the Ravens either trade back or they take either Buckner, Elliott, or Stanley at six. Then Jack could fall to seven. What could make this happen? Maybe Jacksonville has Bosa higher on the board and Baltimore wants to build up their line. Or perhaps Jack has a bad medical (or just a lukewarm one).

In the dream too mock, the Cowboys land Ramsey. Now I agree this is farfetched, but stranger things have happened. Let’s look at two ways it can happen. The first way is if there are three QBs taken early. Let’s say that a team moves up to one to get their QB (Let’s say Wentz). Then Cleveland takes a QB (Goff). With the third, the Chargers then take Tunsil. The Cowboys then trade out to San Fran who take Lynch. With the fifth the Jags take Jack. With the sixth, the Ravens take Bosa. For this to happen, the Ravens have to have Bosa rated higher than Ramsey, the Jags would have to have Jack higher than Ramsey, and there has to be at least two teams that move up for QBs.

The second way this might happen is if Tennessee takes Tunsil at one. Cleveland then takes a QB. San Diego surprises everyone by taking Stanley, Bosa, or Buckner (maybe an outside chance it is Treadwel). Let’s say it is Stanley. Then the 49ers move up for Goff. Then the Jags take Jack. The Ravens then have Ramsey, Bosa or Buckner. In our scenario, we assume they have one of them rated higher than Ramsey. Someone could also move up to get someone they covet. So the Ravens could trade out to someone who wants Bosa or Lynch.

Again, these are not probably scenarios, but they are possible ones.

Well that’s all for today. As I stated before, this is not my favorite trade down scenario. It is only good if one of the QBs fall to seven, or better still if Jack or Ramsey falls down to them. The most likely first pick in this scenario is a QB or Elliott. If that does not work out, Shaq Lawson would be the third option.

Let me know your thoughts. I appreciate your feedback and comments. Keep them coming.



Tommy Simon is an entrepreneur, writer, speaker and sports enthusiast. He is currently CEO of TechBAA, an investor and board member of TPC Technical and CommunitesFIrst, and acting CFO for ALS Communities. In addition to investing and advising companies, Tommy is also a Sales Management coach and is working with companies as a Fractional CMO/CSO. Tommy is a life long football player, coach and Cowboy fan. He currently coaches and sponsors several 7 on 7 teams. He manages/coaches an adult flag football team that is the top team in Florida one of the highest ranked teams in the country. Tommy's hobbies include international travel, fantasy football, reading, and engaging in intelligent political discourse. He is married to a wonderful women for 18 years; which is the best thing he has ever accomplished. He has a dog that is the best dog ever. He also has 9 siblings and roughly 30 nieces and nephews. For more information about tommy, or to request him to speak, please contact him at info@techbaa.com

Dallas Cowboys

Have the Dallas Cowboys Overcome Their 2nd-Round Curse?

Brian Martin

Published

on

Have the Dallas Cowboys Overcome Their 2nd-Round Curse?

You may not be aware or maybe you've simply forgotten, but the Dallas Cowboys have struggled drafting players in the 2nd-round who can come in and contribute. Typically players drafted this highly are not only immediate contributors as a rookie, but are cornerstone players for years to come. That hasn't been the case for the Cowboys.

I don't know where you stand, but I was beginning to think the Dallas Cowboys were cursed with their 2nd-round draft picks. I know this was an area where they would gamble on players for some reason or another, but unfortunately it never really paid off. Hopefully, things are changing for the better.

Let's take a look back at past drafts to see what I'm talking about.

Past 2nd-Round Draft Picks Dating Back to 2006:

2018 Connor Williams
2017 Chidobe Awuzie
2016 Jaylon Smith
2015 Randy Gregory
2014 DeMarcus Lawrence
2013 Gavin Escobar
2012 (no selection) used to trade for Morris Claiborne
2011 Bruce Carter
2010 Sean Lee
2009 (no selection) traded out of 2nd-round
2008 Martellus Bennett
2007 (no selection) used to trade back into 1st for Anthony Spencer
2006 Anthony Fasano

You may be wondering why I decided to start all the way back in 2006. Well, I believe that's when the 2nd-round draft picks curse started for the Dallas Cowboys.

Anthony Fasano ended up having a solid career in the NFL, but he never lived up to his draft status as a former 2nd-round draft pick. The same can be said for Martellus Bennett, Gavin Escobar, and Bruce Carter. Shed a tear for them if you want, but I'd put them in the "bust" category.

Sean Lee

Dallas Cowboys LB Sean Lee

The sad truth is, Sean Lee is the only 2nd-round draft pick on this list to ever see a second contract with the Dallas Cowboys. Although, I guess you can include DeMarcus Lawrence since he will be playing under the franchise tag in 2018. But, that's still not a very good hit percentage in the 2nd-round for more than a decade. Luckily, it looks as if things are changing.

DeMarcus Lawrence might end up being another "hit" for the Cowboys. It may have taken him four years to reach his potential, but there's no denying how dominant he was last season. If he can maintain that dominance this season, he could be looking at a big payday from the Cowboys.

The Dallas Cowboys took a risk on the next two players they drafted after D-Law. They knew Randy Gregory had his off the field issues, but were willing to take a chance on his talent in the 2nd-round. That has yet to pay off, but Gregory has a chance to rebound now that it looks as if he has his life back in order.

Jaylon Smith

Dallas Cowboys LB Jaylon Smith

The Cowboys took another risk in the following draft when they drafted Jaylon Smith. No one knew if he would ever be able to play again after the devastating knee injury he sustained in his final collegiate game, but it's looking as if he could make a full recovery and return to his pre-injury form. Year 3 will be big for him, but he could end up being an absolute steal.

Fortunately, the Cowboys 2017 and 2018 2nd-round draft picks (Chidobe Awuzie and Connor Williams) look to be cornerstone players for years to come. That's what you're looking for in players drafted this highly.

I say all of this because it's really looking like the Dallas Cowboys have finally broken their 2nd-round curse. Maybe it's a change in draft philosophy or maybe it's because Will McClay's voice carries more weight in the draft room, but it's definitely good news for the future of the franchise. Hopefully it continues.

Do you think the Dallas Cowboys 2nd-round curse has ended?



Continue Reading

NFL Draft

Cowboys Draft Class: How Many Will Be Starters In 2018?

Kevin Brady

Published

on

2018 NFL Combine: 3 LBs Who Impressed
Photo by David Becker/Getty Images

The Dallas Cowboys have been showered with praise by most national NFL media outlets for their 2018 NFL Draft class. NFL.com graded the Cowboys as having the 2nd best class in the league, and most other analysts have agreed that the team had a strong showing.

But now, of course, it's time to see what these new players will actually do on the field. Some are hoping the team found 3-5 new starters for the 2018 roster, but history would suggest that is pretty rare.

Dallas' 2016 draft class has been lauded as one of the best in the last decade, especially considering they look to have found their franchise quarterback in round four. That strong class only features four full-time starters heading into 2018, but we have to wonder if that's the outlier and not the norm.

Still, as we look back and examine this 2018 draft class it really appears they have found three day one starters in the first three rounds.

First round pick Leighton Vander Esch is expected to be the starting MIKE linebacker this season, with former second round selection Jaylon Smith moving to SAM. Vander Esch wasn't my favorite option at 19, but he is certainly starter-worthy in this Cowboys LB corps.

On day two the Cowboys added OL Connor Williams and WR Michael Gallup, two of my personal favorite picks of their entire class. Williams should be the starting LG week 1 of the season, and Michael Gallup may overtake Allen Hurns as the most productive WR on the roster by year's end.

Cowboys Land Small School WR In Latest PFF Mock Draft

DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 1: DUPLICATE***Colorado State Rams wide receiver Michael Gallup (4) picks up a few yards after catch as Colorado Buffaloes defensive back Isaiah Oliver (26) comes in for the tackle during the first quarter on September 1, 2017 in Denver, Colorado at Sports Authority Field. (Photo by John Leyba/The Denver Post)

What about the rest of the class?

Dorance Armstrong will probably have too much competition to start at defensive end this season, but he should be an interesting rotational pass rusher. TE Dalton Schultz has the chance to surprise some people, but overtaking Geoff Swaim as the "starter" would be unexpected.

After that, the player with the best chance to make the team and contribute early on might be Boise State WR Cedrick Wilson. Wilson was a late day-two, early day-three pick to me so snagging him in the sixth round should provide incredible value to this roster. That wide out room is getting very crowded, though, so Wilson has his work cut out for him heading into camp.

How many of the Cowboys' 2018 draft picks will be starters in 2018? Let us know what you think in the comment section below.



Continue Reading

NFL Draft

Did the Dallas Cowboys Find 4 Starters in the 2018 NFL Draft?

Mauricio Rodriguez

Published

on

Did the Dallas Cowboys Find 4 Starters in the 2018 NFL Draft?

One of the many winners of the 2018 NFL Draft were, without a doubt, the Dallas Cowboys. Not only did they addressed some of the team's most pressing needs, but they managed to draft very talented, capable players beyond the first round.

Cowboys Nation had to feel better about the rookie class the front office walked away with, specially after the second day of the Draft. Just like last year, they managed to find steals in the second and third rounds. In 2017, they did so with Cornerbacks Chidobe Awuzie and Jourdan Lewis. Now, they stayed put at their original picks and walked away with OL Connor Williams and WR Michael Gallup.

But first things first. In the eyes of many, Leighton Vander Esch wasn't worth the 19th overall pick. While I do agree that Vander Esch was a questionable selection, the Cowboys fixed arguably their most concerning position of all. As much as it pains to admit it, Sean Lee has yet to play an entire NFL season and Jaylon Smith was pretty much the only other capable starter on the roster.

Cowboys en Español: Dallas Selecciona a Vander Esch, ¿Quién Sigue?

Although Vander Esch needs to develop a ton before reaching his full potential. he's a week 1 starter and an early contributor for this defense. Whether it felt like a "reach" or not, the Cowboys took a starter in the Boise State linebacker.

Later, the Cowboys managed to add an arguably first-round talent with pick #50 to plug-and-play along the offensive line. Texas OL Connor Williams was also seen as a tackle prospect, but he'll likely start at guard for Dallas as a rookie.

Since Ron Leary left for Denver, the left guard spot hasn't been as stable. Jonathan Cooper did a decent job filling that spot, but with Williams taking his place, the Cowboys dominance in the trenches will finally return. Playing next to All-Pros Tyron Smith and Travis Frederick, Connor Williams might become the best rookie in this class for the Cowboys.

One can't simply say the team found a "replacement" for Dez Bryant since he's a special player and with a very specific skill set, but Michael Gallup from Colorado State has the potential to become the team's WR1 pretty soon.

In the team's effort to build a Dak-friendly offense, Gallup is a crafty and smooth route-runner who has what it takes to play in any spot of the offense. His skill-set will allow him to play anywhere on the field and become Dak's favorite target in a year in which Jason Witten and Dez Bryant will no longer be lining up on his squad.

Taken in the first three rounds, Vander Esch, Williams and Gallup will be unquestionable starters. The question, however, is who else could become a starter for the Cowboys? Who could line up and start in week 1?

Dallas Cowboys Add Depth on Day 3, Building Future with Young Starters 1

Even though it definitely isn't as certain as the other three rookies, I'm betting on Dalton Schultz to be a more important starter than we imagine. Listen, maybe it's not an ideal scenario to have the TE from Stanford start in week 1, but it could be necessary.

The Rico Gathers Adventure might just be over before it starts and Geoff Swaim and Blake Jarwin may not be anything special. In college, Schultz was pretty good at run blocking. In the Cowboys' offense, led by one of the best running backs in the league, Ezekiel Elliott, Schultz may be able to find success earlier than expected.

Besides, he has what it takes to catch passes in the NFL and although he certainly won't be the flashiest, he could be enough to give Dak Prescott a reliable tight end.

Dalton Schultz could be the surprise of this Draft for Dallas. He'll probably become a starter at some point in the season and for a fourth-round pick, that's a very good thing to say.

For a front office that's constantly bashed by Cowboys Nation, their job at this year's NFL Draft was a pretty good one. Now it's just a matter of time to find out which picks were as good as we originally thought.

Tell me what you think about "Did the Dallas Cowboys Find 4 Starters in the 2018 NFL Draft?" in the comments below, or tweet me @PepoR99 and let’s talk football! If you like football and are looking for a Dallas Cowboys show in Spanish, don’t miss my weekly Facebook Live! show, Primero Cowboys!



Continue Reading

Reader Survey

Want to help make Inside The Star better?

We’re collecting feedback from our readers about the site. It only takes <2 minutes to complete, and can be done from any device.

> Take the survey now

Don’t worry, your information will not be shared with anyone but me (Bryson T.).




Enjoy 40% commissions on officially licensed products as a FanPrint affiliate. You can even make your own, fully licensed Cowboys and player designs! Get started here

Trending