You get what you pay for.
This is the story of the Dallas Cowboys defensive line.
For too long the Cowboys have tried to patch their defensive line by either taking chances in the draft or waiting in free agency to get bargains.
But, bargains are what they are because there is something wrong with the player. You are never going to get a bargain for something that is great. A bargain comes when there is a red flag or some sort of issue. Greg Hardy was a bargain because of the off-the-field concerns. Age can sometimes come with a bargain. Jason Pierre-Paul could be a bargain because of his hand.
If the Cowboys seriously want to add to their defensive line then they must pay as if they want to. Sure, they can continue bargain hunting hoping they strike gold like Macklemore in a Thrift Shop, but if they want to win under Tony Romo they better act like it.
In 2015, 9 of the top-10 teams in the NFL in total sacks made the Playoffs. Each of those teams had no less than 42 total sacks. The Arizona Cardinals had the least sacks of any Playoff teams with 36, five sacks more than the Cowboys had last year. Keep in mind unless they spend it is very hard to picture the 2016 Cowboys defensive line being anywhere near last year.
When projecting, I like to look at conservative numbers. If I'm building a roster I think it is wrong to be too hopeful and assume you will get the best of every player. You have to be ready for the things that go wrong during a season.
With that being said I think it is only fair to project Demarcus Lawrence and Tyrone Crawford for 2016. The rest of the players just aren't starter level players and haven't proven anything on the NFL level.
I'll project 8 sacks for Demarcus Lawrence and 5 for Tyrone Crawford. I'll assign another 12 sacks to be shared between the rest of these defensive linemen as well as linebackers and defensive backs.
That brings you to 25 sacks, something that is a lot less than desirable. Keep in mind even if Dallas brings in some mid-level defensive linemen, that would skew this number slightly. While a guy like Adrian Clayborn might get more sacks than a Ryan Russell, he would also take away time from the rotation I assigned 12 sacks to, skewing the number just slightly.
The way you get that projection of 25 much higher is by adding a dominant player. The Cowboys are desperate for a guy who can give them double-digit sacks. Jason Hatcher was the last Cowboys defensive lineman to register double-digit sacks with 11 in 2013.
DeMarcus Ware was the last Cowboys defensive lineman to make a serious impact in the sacks department with 19.5 in 2011.
Another really important element that is being overlooked is the impact that Greg Hardy had for the rest of the defensive line.
Greg Hardy was the guy teams had to game plan against. Greg Hardy was the guy who had to fight the dirty work. Greg Hardy fought the double teams and took on all of the attention. Greg Hardy pushed sacks to Demarcus Lawrence.
If Demarcus Lawrence becomes the guy in 2016, is he really ready for that? Lawrence's sacks came in bunches and a lot of Cowboys fans weren't happy with him for a good portion of the beginning of the season.
If Demarcus Lawrence is the guy who is getting game planned against and the guy who is getting doubled, first off I don't know if he can handle that and I do know that the rest of the defensive line is not good enough to benefit from that.
The fact of the matter is you can't rely on Rod Marinelli to work his magic every year. You also can't depend on rookies to come in and make an impact. Spend some money and put together a defensive line that will sack the quarterback. Defensive line pressure also leads to poor decisions, which lead to turnovers. As we all know, the Cowboys defense barely forced any turnovers in 2015.
On one hand this team swears they are a win-now team under Tony Romo. If that is what they are then they have to act like it. You can't say that on one hand and then on the other spend cheaply on mid-level players as well as use the draft for positions of desperate need. If you want to win now then you spend on players you KNOW will give you production in 2016 and you use the mid-rounds to develop players to become productive after the Romo window and after the contract with said productive defensive lineman runs out.
Is there a JJ Watt on the market? Absolutely not. However, there are impact players that demand game planning and help the rest of the defensive line look like a much better unit.
Mario Williams, Charles Johnson, Olivier Vernon and Malik Jackson would make a huge impact in 2016.
If the Cowboys do want to go the cheap route, they can still get production if they sign several names. If they go get several out of the group of Adrian Clayborn, William Hayes, Tamba Hali, Jason Pierre-Paul, Jeremy Mincey, Jack Crawford, Robert Ayers, Jaye Howard, Derrick Shelby etc. they can still make it work.
I prefer going for the high end defensive lineman under a 1-3 year deal to really go for it, while using mid-rounders or even higher picks to build the defensive line long-term. However, if the Cowboys do go to the second or third tier, they better sign multiple players or every single one of us has more than enough reason to be extremely disappointed with the team.
This defensive line as currently assembled is an embarrassment and that won't change much unless they do serious work in free agency and the draft.
5 Points: Analyzing the 2018 Dallas Cowboys Schedule
Every year around this time, sports fans everywhere are reminded of just how dominant the National Football League is. The NFL schedule release is literally just the sharing of a calendar that has little meaning until after next week's NFL Draft, but still dominates headlines both before and after the event.
If the Dallas Cowboys are going to return to the playoffs in 2018, we now know the path they will take -- beginning on September 9th in Carolina against the Panthers.
Here are five of my initial thoughts on this team's schedule.
1. "Early" Bye Week Still Later Than Recent Seasons
The Cowboys' bye week falls in week eight this season, which is certainly nothing new. This team is used to having their bye earlier in the season, but week eight is actually the latest it's been over the last three seasons.
In Dak Prescott's rookie season, the Cowboys rolled to six straight wins following their bye week - all part of a longer 11 game win streak. In 2017, the Cowboys played their final three games with Ezekiel Elliott after the bye, improving to 5-3 and inspiring hope for a salvageable season before further injuries piled up.
This season, the Cowboys will come out of their bye week to host Monday Night Football at AT&T Stadium against the Tennessee Titans.
2. AFC South to Play A Huge Factor
Speaking of the Titans, it is the NFC East's year to face off against the AFC South. This has been an unpredictable division as of late, with the Jacksonville Jaguars emerging as early favorites following their improbable run to the AFC Championship Game.
Unlike the NFC East, the AFC South has been decided by who maintains stability at quarterback. The Colts are hoping to contend with Andrew Luck back on the field in 2018, as are the Texans with second-year QB Deshaun Watson.
The Titans overhauled their coaching staff in hopes of progressing QB Marcus Mariota further to make a run at the playoffs once again.
For the Cowboys, their meetings with the AFC South will carry extra weight - as all but one of them precedes a divisional game in some sense. Following back to back games at the Texans and home against the Jaguars, the Cowboys will visit the Redskins in week seven.
The first shot Dallas will get at the defending Super Bowl champions will be November 11th in Philadelphia, two weeks removed from their bye after facing the Titans.
Coming out of two games in 12 days through weeks 12 (Thanksgiving) and 13, the Cowboys will have little chance to come up for air against the Eagles in week 14. Their chance to regroup may come the following week, with a favorable December road game in Indianapolis against the Colts.
3. Revenge Against the Falcons
The Cowboys' week 10 game a year ago in Atlanta is truly where the 2017 season was lost. Playing without Ezekiel Elliott, the Cowboys looked lost on offense thanks to the added absence of All-Pro Left Tackle Tyron Smith.
The Cowboys' fight to carry on at 5-4 was buried into the Falcons' new turf, as was Dak Prescott that afternoon, sacked eight times.
Only a week removed on the calendar from meeting the Falcons on the same date, the Cowboys will again play at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in week 11 this season. The chance for revenge against the Falcons will also mark the only pair of consecutive road games this 2018 Dallas Cowboys team will play.
4. Running Through December
The national media may not want you to know that the Cowboys are a combined 6-2 in December over the last two seasons, as this team's fabled late season collapses remain a topic of conversation.
This point also stands as a great example of why breaking down team schedules in April is often a pointless exercise, but not obsessing over every twist and turn of the NFL as a yearly hobby is no fun. According to me.
It is no secret that the Cowboys will be relying heavily on Ezekiel Elliott in 2018, expecting their star running back to suit up for 16 games and carry the offense. If you believe that Prescott and Elliott paired together full-time again is enough reason for optimism about the Cowboys, their December schedule becomes even more favorable.
Aside from playing three of the four games indoors and away from the elements, the Cowboys will face three of the worst rushing defenses in yards per game allowed from last season in December. With the Eagles being the glaring exception (leading the league in this category), the Cowboys should have their way on the ground with the Colts, Buccaneers, and Giants over their final three games.
5. Thanksgiving Tradition
For the second time in three seasons, the Dallas Cowboys will host the Washington Redskins on Thanksgiving. The Cowboys were victorious on Thanksgiving in 2016 over the Redskins, 31-26.
The Cowboys have only lost to the Redskins once on Thanksgiving, facing them a total of eight times and dropping a 2012 bout with Washington 38-31 (Robert Griffin III's rookie season with the Redskins).
Riding a four game winning streak against the Redskins, the Cowboys get to face an Alex Smith led Washington team on Thanksgiving to wrap up their first series against the NFC East. Following week 12, the Cowboys will still have meetings with the Eagles and New York Giants.
Some may look at this year's division as a two-team race, but counting absolutely any team out of an NFC East race is foolish - even more so in April.
✭ ✭ ✭ ✭ ✭
By this time next week, the Dallas Cowboys have a chance to look entirely different - adding as many as ten players at the 2018 NFL Draft. Only then will we have a better feel for how they stack up against this 2018 schedule.
Stay posted right here to Inside The Star for draft coverage live from Dallas, as I will be at AT&T Stadium for all seven rounds of picks alongside Slant Sports Draft Analyst Nick Flaherty.
Cowboys TE James Hanna Retiring
In an unexpected bit of pre-draft news, Dallas Cowboys backup tight end James Hanna will be retiring after six seasons. He was drafted by the Cowboys in sixth round of the 2012 NFL Draft.
The news of Hanna's retirement was first reported by ESPN's Todd Archer:
The Cowboys will place James Hanna on the reserve/retired list as the tight end could not get over a serious knee condition that troubled him for most of the last two seasons, according to sources. Hanna was not involved in the early part of the team's... https://t.co/45BAZ2avSC
Hanna, who turns 29 in July, missed all of 2016 with that knee issue and has had two surgeries. He was active for all 16 games last season but wasn't used much on offense, only having four catches. James did catch his first and only NFL touchdown in the team's Week 4 loss to the Los Angeles Rams.
Many thought Hanna would be a salary cap casualty this offseason, but a retirement has the same effect on the cap. The Cowboys now save $2.75 million off his scheduled $3.5 mullion cap hit in 2018.
James Hanna has stuck around this long thanks to being a proficient blocker and one of the standout players on special teams. Geoff Swaim, entering the final year of his rookie deal, will likely be trusted to fill those roles.
That said, tight end was already a targeted position for the Cowboys in next week's draft. Losing Hanna only give the team more incentive to add more talent.
Optimistic Reports Emerge Around Randy Gregory
Good news are coming to Dallas just in time. Less than a week from now, the NFL Draft will be held in the Cowboys' home, the AT&T Stadium. But the team may count with a defensive talent many in Cowboys Nation have tried to forget for a while now. Randy Gregory's comeback may just happen.
There's a lot of positions in the roster that need more help than the defensive end one, but after finding the "War Daddy" Jerry Jones has always wanted in DeMarcus Lawrence, finding a RDE this offseason would be a dream scenario.
Sure, there's a lot of young talent in this football team and they'll be coming off a season that put a chip on their shoulders. Even so, they'll need all the help they can get.
Fortunately for the Cowboys, some help could come in form of a very talented pass rusher. Randy Gregory is reportedly applying for reinstatement very soon and according to Mike Fisher and Bobby Belt, there are positive reports around the situation.
Randy Gregory update: I'm told there is real momentum building. He is expected to apply for reinstatement in the week or two following next week's NFL Draft.
Cowboys Nation last saw the second round pick back in 2016, but his potential shouldn't be forgotten. Of course, the Cowboys shouldn't be considering Gregory for their 2018 plans, simply because there's risk of him not being available.
Even still, Dallas may get lucky at defensive end. After DeMarcus Lawrence has a breakout season in 2017, imagine the defensive line with Randy Gregory reinstated and rehabilitated to exploit his talent in the NFL.
UPDATE: We're told Randy Gregory camp is ready to present to NFL the fact the #Cowboys DE has passed a large number of drug tests, hasn't failed one since July 2016. https://t.co/Hjgu2CqRtC
Despite some TMZ "reports", it looks like Gregory has been clean for a while. It sure should make Cowboys' fans happy and not only form a football perspective. A comeback would definitely be something amazing. He has a chance to write a unique story for himself.
Everyone likes second-chance stories. Gregory is a guy who had his share of problems. By coming back to the NFL, he's showing players and fans that change is possible. This wouldn't just be epic for Dallas Cowboys fans but NFL fans in general.
If Dallas is fortunate enough to see Gregory reinstated by the NFL, their fight in the trenches might see a big upgrade next season. Randy still has a lot to work on and he might not even be a starter right away, but the potential is right there.
The Cowboys could become a team capable of dominating the line of scrimmage both on offense and on defense.
Hopefully, Gregory is able to come back and shine as a professional player. He, and NFL fans deserve a story like that.
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