In the 1996 classic Tin Cup amateur golfer Roy McAvoy finds himself playing in one of golf's most historic, and most democratic, golf tournaments... The U.S. Open.
He experiences many ups and downs throughout the four day event, finding himself in serious contention on the 18th hole on the final day. Pretty cool, right?
The thing about that 18th hole is that every day that he plays it... he comes up short. It takes a strong 453 yards to get on the green in two, crossing some serious water in the process, and Roy McAvoy is a go-for-it type of guy. He doesn't play to punt.
All three times that he plays 18 before the final day he comes up short and lands in the water. Each day he comes a little bit closer... ultimately going swimming every time.
On the final day of the tournament Roy is on 18 with a chance to play it safe and win the tournament... The U.S. Freaking Open! He decides to go for the green in two anyway. He crosses the water and it seems like he's done it! Unfortunately the 18th green is a particularly slopey one, and Roy's ball rolls back off of it into the water.
Roy, his family, the broadcasters, and fans everywhere are all devastated... but there's hope! Roy can still save par, tie this thing up, and force a playoff for a chance to still win.
He goes for it. Again.
At this point Roy has now lost the U.S. Open. Everyone around him is questioning his ignorance, begging him to just lay up so he can finish this thing and save some of his dignity.
Roy goes for it again.
Complete and utter humiliation starts to set in.
Roy asks his caddie for another ball so that he can go for it again, and he's informed that this is the last one that he has in the bag. If he sinks this one he won't be able to finish the hole and will be disqualified. The pressure is on this swing more than any other.
Thanks to all of the shots that he's put in the water and subsequent drops... Roy is dropping 11 and hitting his 12th shot at this point. Twelfth.
I watch this clip before every round, I don't play for second!
Roy sinks it for one of the greatest moments in golf, more specifically movie, history! The crowd is equally stunned and jubilant as Roy raises his club in victory.
The beautiful sound of the ball falling into the cup gives him a 12 on the hole. A 12!
Roy gets to the green, pulls the ball out of the hole, and tosses it in the water. Victory.
He finds his girlfriend Molly in the frenzy and starts to realize how idiotic what he just did is. He's in a daze as she throws her arms around him. He grits his teeth and says, "I just made a 12 on the last hole of the U.S. Open!" Molly responds with the attitude that every golfer has at heart.
"You sure did. It was the greatest 12 of all time. No one's going to remember the Open 10 years from now, who won... but they'll remember your 12! My God, Roy... Well, it's immortal!"
Roy embraces the epic-ness of it all as his bitter rival walks by, shakes his hand, and gives us the inspiration for today's 5 Bold Predictions.
"I gotta hand it to you. When you go down, you go down in flames."
Welcome to the season finale of my Bold Predictions. We've just dropped our own 11 and are on our way to a potential 12 just like Roy. Let's go down in flames.
Darren McFadden Will Throw A Touchdown
The pomp and circumstance surrounding Darren McFadden is that he's three yards away from 1,000 on the season. Who would have thought?
Run DMC has been running all over opposing defenses since late October, but in the 2015 swan song he's going to throw a touchdown!
I've called for McFadden to throw a pass in these Bold Predictions before, but I'm adding some spice to it with the touchdown element.
Darren has thrown passes before during his time as both an Arkansas Razorback and Oakland Raider. He'll add "Dallas Cowboys thrower" to his resume Sunday afternoon.
The Dallas Cowboys Will Run A Surprise Onside Kick
The flames are getting going good and high!
It's the last game of the season and that means you've gotta pull out all of the stops, right Coach Garrett?
Week 17 is always weird for teams officially eliminated from the playoffs, thankfully a feeling Cowboys fans are unfamiliar with, and typically we see some crazy stuff.
I can see it now. Dan Bailey runs out, in all his glory, and gives the perfect (shocker) surprise onside kick. Devin Street recovers, everyone celebrates, and Coach Garrett hugs everyone around him. Bliss.
Byron Jones Will Return An Interception For A Touchdown
The greatest thing that 2015 gave us was undeniably Byron Jones.
This dude is a real deal and the total package when it comes to playing, almost any position really, in the secondary.
Sure he had moments where he got burnt, but we can attribute those to rookie growing pains. Byron has been one of the most consistent and versatile players at Rod Marinelli's disposal.
I've boldly, and ultimately incorrectly, predicted that he'd get an interception before. We're kicking things up a gear for the finale.
Byron is going to not only get the pick this week, but he's going to show off his athleticism when he takes it all the way back to the house! He'll probably have the most polite celebration ever as Byron Jones can do no wrong.
Cole Beasley Will Cause A Fumble
You read that right!
Imagine a world where Kellen Moore is quarterback. This is a place filled with interception after interception. It's a scary world.
The odds are pretty high that Kellen Moore will throw it to someone wearing a different jersey than his tomorrow. It's what happens after that that's going to shock folks.
A random Redskin is going to be bringing this thing back, trying to cut his way back and forth, and then BAM! He's going to get blown up by Cole Beasley... jarring the ball loose.
Cole Beasley can do anything. Even cause fumbles. Believe it.
Randy Gregory Will Get His First, Second, And Third Sacks
Every Dallas Cowboys fan has their minds already locked and loaded on 2016. This season was never meant to be and this final game is just a formality that we have to go through.
There are a lot of exciting things about this team looking towards next season, and Randy Gregory is one of them. He has yet to record a sack, but to be fair rookie pass rushers don't exactly set the world on fire.
Randy is going to be a big part of what the Cowboys want to do defensively in the future, and he's going to have a game that proves it.
Considering that Washington will likely be resting a lot of their starters and that the Cowboys will be giving some deeper members of the roster more playing time... Gregory is going to get some opportunities. He's also going to get them against some inferior competition.
Look for Randy to lasso in a hat trick of sacks as we set sail towards 2016 on Sunday.
It's been my absolute privilege to write these Bold Predictions every week throughout the 2015 season. I hope that you've enjoyed them even a fraction as much as I have.
Onward to 2016!
Seahawks’ Tight End Will Dissly Flying Under the Radar
The Seattle Seahawks are in need of a big win this weekend to stay a game or two back of the NFC West leading Los Angeles Rams. The Dallas Cowboys hope to extend their one game winning streak to two, but to do that, they'll have to win certain matchups on both sides of the football. One player that the Dallas Cowboys will have to be aware of and contain is rookie Tight End Will Dissly.
With Doug Baldwin injured in week one and out week two, other players have had to step up in their lead wide receiver's absence.
Brandon Marshall and Tyler Lockett are the names that most everyone will recognize, but Dissly, is the name that Cowboys Nation should keep an eye on come Sunday.
Dissly, drafted in the fourth round of the 2018 NFL Draft out of the University of Washington, came into the season with a reputation as a blocking back. Dane Brugler, of The Athletic, had Dissly ranked 98th overall and as the ninth ranked tight end in the draft. Just one spot behind Dallas Cowboys rookie Tight End Dalton Schultz.
Here is what Brugler had to say in his 2018 NFL Draft Guide.
"A one-year starter at Washington, Dissly spent his first two years at Washington on defense and his final two years on offense, lining up inline and wing in the Huskies’ offense. He was a blocker-first and receiver-second in college, which was a role he embraced with his hard-nosed toughness and competitive edge. Dissly uses his upper body power and base strength in unison to control the point of attack, displaying the core flexibility and length to keep defenders busy. While he flashed reliable hand/eye coordination and run power after the catch, he lacks the route-running experience or athletic deception to consistently uncover. Overall, Dissly is a project as a pass-catcher, but he will contribute early in his NFL career as an inline blocker and sixth offensive lineman."
Dane Brugler - Dane Brugler's 2018 NFL Draft Guide
To say that it comes as a surprise at Dissly's start to his rookie campaign would be a huge understatement. A Brugler notes, there was a chance he'd contribute early as a blocking specialist, but was thought to be a project in the passing game. He's been a big play threat in the first two games of the season, already taking the lead in Seattle Seahawks TE snap distribution at 65%.
Among tight ends, Dissly's is tied for 12th in the NFL in targets with 10, tied for 17th in receptions with six, fourth in the NFL in receiving yards, tied for first with 2 touchdown receptions, third in yards per reception at 24.5, third in yards after the catch with 90, is tied for fifth with five receptions for first downs, sixth in yards per route run, and hasn't dropped a pass this season. He's averaging five targets, three receptions, 73.5 yards, and a touchdown per game. He's been targeted twice out of the slot and has two receptions for 36 yards and a touchdown while playing 46% of his snaps from the slot.
When Seahawks Quarterback Russell Wilson has targeted his rookie tight end, he has a passer rating of 143.8.
He's been way more than they could have hoped.
Here's what SB Nation' Seattle Seahawks blog Field Gulls had to say about Will Dissly after the Seattle Seahawks week one loss to the Denver Broncos.
"Hot damn! Who saw that coming? Was that Will Dissly or a prime Jeremy Shockey? 3 catches for 105 yards and a touchdown for someone drafted primarily for his blocking abilities. Seattle has a new weapon on offense, and I doubt anyone saw that coming."
Mookie Alexander - Field Gulls, SB Nation
It's likely that nobody, including the Denver Broncos or the Chicago Bears, saw Dissly's breakout coming this soon. Now with it on tape, the Dallas Cowboys will have their eye on Will Dissly.
Russell Wilson doesn't have a ton of established -- or still good -- wide receivers at his disposal, but Will Dissly looks like a fourth round steal for the Seahawks.
The Dallas Cowboys' linebackers will be tested on Sunday.
Four of Dissly's six receptions have come against linebackers, including a 34 yard reception (19 yards after the catch) against Chicago Bears' Linebacker Danny Trevathan and a 66 yard reception (52 YAC) against Denver Broncos Outside Linebacker Bradley Chubb.
The Dallas Cowboys seem fully capable of matching up with good receiving tight ends as Jaylon Smith showed on Sunday. Smith showed an ability to run with Odell Beckham Jr. in coverage on Sunday. No small task. We know that Sean Lee is good in coverage. Leighton Vander Esch's best trait coming out of Boise State is his coverage ability. I also wouldn't be surprised to see the Dallas Cowboys matchup Xavier Woods and Anthony Brown with the athletic tight end when he's lined up in the slot.
How the Dallas Cowboys defense does in coverage against the rookie tight end could be a major key to the game. With names like Brandon Marshall, Tyler Lockett, and Rashad Penny to keep an eye on, someone like Will Dissly could be easily forgotten.
You're going to hear his name called on Sunday. Let's just hope it's more for what he did weeks one and two.
Xavier Woods Among Cowboys with Something to Prove in Seattle
The Earl Thomas trade rumors have been relentless this offseason. We've heard about them. I've written about them, and for better or worse, they just won't stop. No doubt Dallas Cowboys Safety Xavier Woods has heard them as well.
When Woods went down with his hamstring injury and as Earl Thomas continued his hold out, the clamor for Thomas grew louder and louder.
Per reports, it looks like Woods is set to make his 2018 debut. With a good game against the Seattle Seahawks, he can put a silence to the trade rumors.
I've been a proponent of making the deal for Earl Thomas all offseason. From the time he came running down the tunnel toward the Dallas Cowboys locker room, I've been all aboard the Earl Thomas hype train. Opportunities to add All-Pro players don't come along very often and if you're hoping to win football games in the short term, like the Dallas Cowboys are, you make the move.
My opinion isn't a knock on Xavier Woods, who was good as a rookie last year. He was especially good when asked to play in the slot early in the 2017 season. It has more to do with Woods still being a bit of an unknown and Thomas being a known quantity.
Xavier Woods has shown potential to be a really good safety in this league. In college, he played a lot of single high safety and played it very well. He has a knack for making plays on the football and can be a game changer for the Dallas Cowboys.
If the Dallas Cowboys can come away with a victory in Seattle, facing the player that the Dallas Cowboys have been linked to for months, and Woods has a good game in the process, then all of this will go away.
Heading into Sunday, Xavier Woods isn't the only player on the Dallas Cowboys roster who has something to prove.
Two Wide Receivers
The Cowboys added another wide receiver this week when they resigned free agent Brice Butler. I agree with Inside The Star Staff Writer Jess Haynie that adding Butler doesn't make a ton of sense, but it definitely adds question marks to the wide receiver room, in particular wide receivers Terrance Williams and Allen Hurns.
These two wide receivers were expected to be the starters on the outside and the primary targets, aside from Wide Receiver Cole Beasley, and yet, they've failed to have much of an impact in either of the two games in the 2018 season.
Take a look at their stat lines.
- Allen Hurns: 5 targets, 2 receptions, 29 yards, 0 touchdowns, on 55% of the team's offensive snaps.
- Terrance Williams: 3 targets, 2 receptions, 18 yards, 0 touchdowns on 25% of the snaps.
Those two are tied for fifth in receptions through two weeks of the season. Wide Receiver Deonte Thompson has found himself as a favorite target of Quarterback Dak Prescott through the first two games and has seven receptions for 60 yards.
With now seven wide receivers on the roster, there are less snaps to go around and with the increase in playing time for Tavon Austin and Michael Gallup, Terrance Williams may have already found himself as the odd man out. Brice Butler complicates things further for Williams and may eat into Allen Hurns snap count as well.
Now it looks like Terrance Williams is facing a suspension. If the suspension comes down before Sunday, he's going to really have a hard time finding a role on this team when he comes back.
Sources: Cowboys WR Terrance Williams faces suspension stemming from May arrest for public intoxication https://t.co/of11Xlb7wD via @sportsdaydfw
If he comes back.
Defensive End Making a Comeback
Things started out really well for returning Defensive End Randy Gregory. During the preseason he flashed the tools that made him a highly coveted player before his failed drug test at the NFL Combine.
Unfortunately the start of his 2018 season was derailed due to a concussion early in the Carolina Panthers game forcing him to miss week two.
In his place, Taco Charlton emerged as an impact player on the right side of the defensive line. Charlton has played the most defensive snaps of any defensive end through the first two games of the season; DeMarcus Lawrence included. Taco went from a 73% snap share in week one to an 83% snap share in week two. It's obvious that he's earned his snaps and the coaching staff wants to get him on the field.
This doesn't even begin to mention the contributions by rookie fourth round pick Dorance Armstrong, who like Charlton, saw a 10% snap increase from week one to week two and played really well when in the game.
This is a bit of a problem for Randy Gregory. Yes, he flashed in the preseason and early in the Carolina game, but the NFL is a "what have you done for me lately" league and Gregory hasn't done much of anything in the regular season, yet.
Coming into the Seahawks game, Gregory is going to have to earn back some of those snaps. By all accounts he has a chance to be an elite defensive end on the right side of the Dallas Cowboys defense, but he has to prove that he can stay on the field and effective when on it.
He needs to shine in week three.
✭ ✭ ✭ ✭ ✭
Who are your players with something to prove heading into the week three matchup with the Seattle Seahawks? Let us know in the comment section.
How The Seattle Seahawks Have Increased Importance In Cowboys’ Lore
You can't talk about this decade's Dallas Cowboys without discussing the Seattle Seahawks.
In 2012, when Golden Tate took out Sean Lee on a crack-back block and the Seahawks embarrassed a Cowboys team who had just defeated the defending champion New York Giants, we saw which of the two teams was truly ready for the big stage.
In 2014, as Rolando McClain intercepted Russell Wilson and the Cowboys clinched a critical road victory, we knew that Dallas was a legit contender.
In 2015, when Seattle finally came to Dallas and rendered the return of Pro Bowl receiver Dez Bryant meaningless in a 13-12 win, the then 2-5 Cowboys were sent further into a Romo-less abyss.
And, in 2017, Dez Bryant's key drops and Dan Bailey's missed field goals during a horrendous home loss to the Seahawks on Christmas Eve might have sealed each of their fates for the following offseason.
The most important moment in this Cowboys/Seahawks history, however, occurred during a preseason game. A meaningless preseason game which turned out to be the most meaningful day in recent Cowboys history.
Cliff Avril dragging Tony Romo down from behind, effectively ending his career, and kicking off the roster massive turnover we have seen the last two offseasons. From Dak Prescott, to a brand new secondary, to the retirement of Jason Witten, and the cutting of Dez Bryant. All of this change, which put an end to the Romo era rosters in Dallas, began with that hit in Seattle.
Since 2012 the Cowboys, and the rest of the NFC really, have been judged by how they play against two teams: the Packers and the Seahawks.
They have been the class of the NFC, and while we like to think that if the "Dez Caught It" game went how it should have Dallas would've handled Seattle, that will forever be an unknown.
Sunday's game is not expected to carry the franchise-changing implications that some of these other match ups have had. The Seahawks are 0-2 and reeling, with a shaky offensive line and reported distrust throughout the organization.The Cowboys, however, can jump-start their season with a big road win over a winless team that they should beat in the minds of many.
But knowing how things between these teams tend to go, Sunday afternoon may end up having major implications on the rest of the Cowboys' season.
Where this could be the case is in a potential Earl Thomas trade. It's been speculated that Seattle has been hesitant to deal Thomas to Dallas before their week 3 match up, but could be more willing to do so after the game.
Especially if that game is a loss which sends them to 0-3. The Cowboys have been actively pursuing Earl Thomas, and Thomas has certainly made it clear that he wants to be in Dallas. The only party not willing to make it happen thus far, are the Seahawks.
So, this weekend, there is a chance another chapter is added to those franchise-changing moments in Cowboys/Seahawks lore.
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