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Topic: Win Probability

Using Win Probabilities To Evaluate Jason Garrett’s 4th Down Decisions

The Cowboys fell to 5-4 with their gut-wrenching 28-24 loss on Sunday night. But while the Vikings are certainly a quality opponent, and they played an excellent game for much of the...

#DALvsPHI: Evaluating Jason Garrett’s 4th Down OT Decision

It's no secret that Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett is the victim of much criticism among Cowboys Nation. Often called too conservative, or called out for "coaching scared," Garrett has gotten...

Using Win Probabilities To Evaluate Decision Making: Cowboys Punt Vs. Rams

Last week, I utilized a Win Probability model to evaluate a key decision made by Jason Garrett against the Oakland Raiders. According to the model, Garrett made the right call to kick...
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