Where Will the Cowboys First Round Draft Pick Land?

On Tuesday night, I was doing some preliminary work on 2017 NFL Draft prospects – finding it hard to fully get into college tape when a world of 11-1 Dallas Cowboys football surrounds me. While I’m certainly still focused on Dallas’ regular season and playoff run, this fascinating chart came across my desk this morning (Ok, I’m in college, I don’t work at a desk, work with me here).


Cowboys Headlines - Where Will the Cowboys First Round Draft Pick Land?


The charts, which can be seen entirely and in much better detail right here, calculate the probability that any given team will have any given first round pick. Officially, the Cowboys will not be picking in the top 20 of the 2017 NFL Draft. 

There is also less than a 1% chance that the Cowboys will have any pick before 26th overall. Most likely, according to this chart that has the Cowboys at 14 regular season wins, they will be picking in one of the “Super Bowl” slots.

With one of the last two picks in the first round, there is some good news for the Cowboys. First and foremost, they played in Super Bowl LI! Dallas’ track record of recent first round picks has also been impeccable.

The last time the Cowboys picked with the 31st or 32nd pick, they selected Wisconsin Center Travis Frederick in a trade-down with the 49ers. Frederick was the second piece to the Space Cowboys – the offensive line that has made the Cowboys the best team in the NFL.

While I’ll be getting a lot more into specific names that could be in play for any Cowboys’ draft picks this spring, the initial field of prospects appears to be very deep at positions of need for Dallas such as defensive end or wide receiver.

There is no more tanking for a top five pick. We have Ezekiel Elliott. We have a good football team. That team is going to get better in the 2017 NFL Draft, after already playing in Houston on Super Bowl Sunday.

Have any 2017 draft prospects you would love to see in the silver and blue? Let me know with a comment below the article, or an email to, and I’ll be sure to check them out this draft season!


Tell us what you think about “Where Will the Cowboys First Round Draft Pick Land?” in the comments below. You can also email me at, or Tweet to me at @SeanMartinNFL!

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Sean Martin

Written by Sean Martin

Born January 28th, 1996- Cowboys Super Bowl XXX. Point Boro Panther, Montclair State Red Hawk, and most importantly a proud member of Cowboys Nation! I host "Upon Further Review" on 90.3 WMSC FM and every Friday from 1-4 PM ET. Twitter: @SeanMartinNFL.


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