Mock Drafts, when you think about it, are what get us through the first months of the offseason. It combines NFL Draft prospects, team needs and trade rumors into one conversation. We see them change week after week with the latest buzz around the league, and they keep us hooked until Draft Day.
Once teams start selecting their new players, just about every single Mock Draft ends up being way wrong. Heck, even the most recognized experts get it wrong. It's just a very difficult thing to "predict."
However, that won't keep us die-hard football fans from giving it our best shot every year.
I present to you my first Mock Draft of the year. Before we begin, here's two important notes. 1) The following is a simulation assuming that Kirk Cousins ends up being a Minnesota Viking. 2) I really don't think the top 10 order will stay the same once Draft Day arrives, but I didn't want to flood this edition with a lot of mock trades. Even still, I did include only one.
Enjoy, and don't forget to share your thoughts with me in the comments section below or tweet me @PepoR99!
1. Cleveland Browns: QB Sam Darnold, USC
Since the 2018 NFL Draft's best prospect Saquon Barkley killed the Combine, many have the Browns taking the franchise-changing running back with the first overall pick. Even still, I don't see Cleveland taking the risk of Sam Darnold not being there at 4.
This time, they won't pass on a potential franchise QB. There are a few good quarterbacks in this class, but Darnold's play-making ability make him the best of the bunch. Browns' fans should be happy with this pick.
2. New York Giants: RB Saquon Barkley, Penn State
I won't be surprised if the Giants think about the future and draft a quarterback right here, but if they believe Eli Manning still has some years left, then get him a running back like Saquon Barkley and watch him take a lot of the pressure off his shoulders.
The offensive line will remain a need, but Barkley is not a prospect you can easily pass on, even less if you have a RB need. This guy will make the Giants' offense a scary one.
3. Indianapolis Colts: EDGE Bradley Chubb, North Carolina State
Bradley Chubb is this class' best defensive prospect and the Colts need to upgrade their pass rush. Some have even compared him to Myles Garrett, although he isn't as athletic. With the Colts switching to a 4-3 defense, taking Chubb makes the most sense.
Quenton Nelson is an absolute beast, but this class is loaded with OL, so I don't see them taking him over Chubb at 3. If they trade down, however, I see them taking the Notre Dame product.
4. New York Jets (Via Mock Trade): QB Josh Rosen, UCLA
There are many possible trades which could alter the way the Top 5 looks like come Draft Day. In this case, the Jets missed out on Kirk Cousins during Free Agency and taking the risk losing their guy to another QB-needy team won't be something they want to go through.
The Browns will be confident with a trade down here, knowing the Jets and the Broncos will be looking for a new signal-caller.
The pick could very well be Josh Allen, but the Jets may be more confident with starting Rosen from week 1.
5. Denver Broncos: QB Josh Allen, Wyoming
Josh Allen has one hell of an arm and John Elway will be very comfortable with taking him at 5. Maybe the Broncos pair him up with Case Keenum to give the rookie some time to polish a thing or two. The Broncos can't afford to pass on a quarterback with this pick though.
Denver still has a talented roster and a new leader might be what they need to get back in the game.
6. Cleveland Browns: S Minkah Fitzpatrick, Alabama
The same guy they would've taken at four, Fitzpatrick provides the Browns' with a pro-ready safety and a defensive leader they so desperately need. Don't look now, but the Browns are building a very solid team.
Adding a play-maker like Minkah in the secondary is a no-brainer.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OG Quenton Nelson, Notre Dame
The Buccaneers need a ton of help in the defense but despite defensive backs like Derwin James and Denzel Ward being available, they opt to take one of the best players in the Draft. If it wasn't for the QBs, Nelson would be a top 5 pick.
The Bucs don't miss the opportunity of stealing Nelson with the seventh pick.
8. Chicago Bears: CB Denzel Ward, Ohio State
Even after transition tagging CB Kyle Fuller, the Bears' secondary needs depth. Adding Denzel Ward to the team will take the Bears' DBs to another level. Mitchell Trubisky needs weapons on his offense, but they'll bet on Day 2 to add a WR.
At this point, Ward could be the best player available, and Chicago shouldn't think about it.
9. San Francisco 49ers: LB Tremaine Edmunds, Virginia
Before hearing about Reuben Foster's incident, linebacker was already a need for the 49ers. Now with even more uncertainty, I simply don't see them passing on arguably the best linebacker of the Draft. Edmunds goes to San Francisco and Jimmy Garoppolo waits for a new weapon.
10. Oakland Raiders: LB Roquan Smith, Georgia
The Raiders had a very disappointing season in 2017 and with many needs in their defense, the Raiders opt for a linebacker who'll step in and be a locker room leader from day 1.
If the Raiders and the 49ers both take a LB, it'll be interesting to see the results since these picks were defined by a coin toss.
11. Miami Dolphins: QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Ryan Tannehill is decent at best, but he clearly isn't the answer for the Dolphins. I can see Miami or another team trading up to get Mayfield in the top 10. A lot of people question Baker's height and "cockiness," but don't be surprised when he makes teams regret passing on him. The kid can play.
12. Cincinnati Bengals: OT Connor Williams, Texas
The Bengals need desperate help all across the offensive line. Connor Williams is a prospect who not many people like, but he's still a pretty good prospect for any NFL team that's looking for a tackle or a guard.
Cincinnati is looking for both.
13. Washington Redskins: S Derwin James, Florida State
The Redskins need help in their front-seven, but Derwin James is a great prospect and it'll be hard to pass on him. He can start all across the secondary and could be used as a chess piece to give other team's headaches.
14. Green Bay Packers: EDGE Marcus Davenport, UTSA
Davenport comes from a small school, but his talent will be enough to make him a top 15 pick. His performance in the Senior Bowl and in the Combine sky-rocketed his draft stock and confirmed just how athletic he is.
The Packers will be lucky to have him.
15. Arizona Cardinals: OT Mike McGlinchey, Notre Dame
Will Arizona reach for Lamar Jackson? Being desperate for a QB, it could definitely happen.
However, they also need help in the offensive line and with the lack for quality offensive tackles in the draft and in free agency, they'll take advantage of McGlinchey being there at 15.
16. Baltimore Ravens: WR Calvin Ridley, Alabama
Ridley didn't put up impressive numbers at the Combine, but tape doesn't lie. He's the best WR in the Draft and will be able to shine in the NFL. Joe Flacco needs offensive weapons and the Alabama product will provide Baltimore with a lot of production.
17. Los Angeles Chargers: DT Vita Vea, Washington
Vita Vea at 17 is great value. The Chargers can continue to build their defensive front with yet another young talent. They already have a great set of edge rushers, if they're able to plug-in Vea in the middle, opposing offensive lines will have a hard time dealing with the Chargers' front.
18. Seattle Seahawks: CB Josh Jackson, Iowa
The Seahawks need offensive line once again. However, Josh Jackson is a ball-hawking defender who could fit very well in Seattle. With Richard Sherman expected to be released, this would make a lot of sense.
They'll be able to find offensive line help later in the Draft.
19. Dallas Cowboys: EDGE Harold Landry, Boston College
The Dallas Cowboys drafted Taco Charlton a year ago and they just franchised tag DeMarcus Lawrence... but if Harold Landry is available at 19, with guys like Vita Vea and Calvin Ridley gone... the Cowboys might want to steal their future RDE with this pick.
Besides, it's too early to know if D-Law will be on the roster past 2018. The Cowboys take advantage of a WR and OG deep class and wait until later to attend some of their most pressing needs.
Harold Landry, one of the best edge rushers from this class, will be a huge steal at this point of the Draft. Some say he's too small and that this front office won't be interested in him, but his size is actually similar to Takkarist McKinley's, a player that the Cowboys wanted a year ago.
20. Detroit Lions: LB Rashaan Evans, Alabama
The Lions are ready to roll with their new head coach Matt Patricia. After retaining Ezekiel Ansah, they'll add even more talent to their defense. Davis is a good linebacker, but Rashaan Evans will help take that defense to the next level.
21. Buffalo Bills: DT Da'Ron Payne, Alabama
The Bills are one of the teams who could trade up to get a QB earlier in the Draft, especially with two picks in the first round. If they decide to stay put, DT will be a position they'll take a look at with Da'Ron Payne or even Maurice Hurst being available.
22. Buffalo Bills: QB Lamar Jackson, Louisville
For some, this might be a reach. If they can't fix their QB situation in free agency, though, I see the Bills taking Lamar Jackson and investing in him to be their future quarterback. He might need to polish a lot of things before the season, but Jackson has the potential to shine as a pro.
23. Los Angeles Rams: C James Daniels, Iowa
The Rams have been active this offseason adding some serious talent across its secondary. Aqib Talib and Marcus Peters have solidified an already powerful Wade Phillips' defense, and this time the Rams opt for one of the best OL in the Draft.
James Daniels is a guy who could get to the Pro Bowl in his rookie season at center.
24. Carolina Panthers: OG Will Hernandez, UTEP
Maybe Isaiah Wynn goes before Will Hernandez, but I like Hernandez' playing style and it should help the Panthers' ability to run the football. The Panthers could also draft a WR like James Washington, Christian Kirk or DJ Moore here, but they go for the OL upgrade to help both running and passing game.
25. Tennessee Titans: CB Mike Hughes, UCF
Mike Hughes was an excellent player for the legitimate 2017 National Champions (I kid, I kid) and his tape will make sure teams don't pass on him in the first round. Some have Hughes gone in the top 15, but I like other cornerbacks like Josh Jackson over him.
Either way, the Titans still have a need for a true CB1 and Mike Hughes could be their guy.
26. Atlanta Falcons: OG Isaiah Wynn, Georgia
The Falcons will consider WR at this point. Even though Julio Jones is one of the NFL's finest, he would certainly appreciate some help to get that offense going. However, the running game could improve as well, so they go with the safe pick and draft Isaiah Wynn.
If the board falls this way, three OGs would be taken in Day 1. This could lead to an early run for other available guards later.
27. New Orleans Saints: TE Dallas Goedert, South Dakota St.
If somehow, one of the top quarterbacks falls all the way to 27, the Saints should be considering taking Drew Brees' heir to the throne. Either way, they must address the offense. Although they might add a WR here, they could also take TE Dallas Goedert, who is arguably the best at his position this year.
Goedert didn't face top competition during his career, but he definitely has the talent to be a starter in the NFL and make an impact right away.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers: LB Leighton Vander Esch, Boise State
Unfortunately, the Steelers need an inside LB. With the injury of Ryan Shazier, they need someone to come in and fill in his spot for the defense. With Rashaan Evans already gone, Leighton Vander Esch would make the most sense for the Steelers.
Vander Esch helped his stock in the Combine, and with his versatility, the Steelers can play him in any inside linebacker spot they want.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars: TE Mike Gesicki, Penn State
A wide receiver would also make sense for the Jaguars, but a tight end is more of a need for them. Dede Westbrook, Allen Hurns and Marqise Lee (who is set to become a FA but could easily return to the Jaguars) could keep WR from being a priority over a guy like Mike Gesicki who could provide Blake Bortles with a best friend and go-to target.
30. Minnesota Vikings: CB Isaiah Oliver, Colorado
As I mentioned earlier, I have the Vikings landing Kirk Cousins in free agency. With him, they're one of the early Super Bowl favorites. Their defense is amazing, but they should be concerned about Terrance Newman's future.
They could add Isaiah Oliver from Colorado to add depth and a potential starter to their defense.
31. New England Patriots: EDGE Arden Key, LSU
The New England Patriots remain a contender as always, and adding an edge rusher like Key will take their defense to another level. Their defense always finds a way to make things work, but they need a pass rusher.
Between injuries and him leaving the team last spring, Arden Key's draft stock may have taken a hit. But the truth is he's one of the best prospects in this Draft and maybe even a top-10 talent. The Patriots steal him at 31.
32. Philadelphia Eagles: RB Derrius Guice, LSU
Despite adding Jay Ajayi last season, the Eagles could still look for a running back in the first round. Derrius Guice would provide great value if available at the end of the round here. Guice would give this offense a very solid running attack, making the Super Bowl champions' offense even more dangerous.
I could also see them add another starting wide receiver, especially with so many available.
Cowboys Draft Target: Nebraska WR Stanley Morgan Jr.
NAME: Stanley Morgan Jr.
POSITION: Wide Receiver
CONFERENCE: Big Ten
JERSEY: No. 8
RECRUITMENT RATING: 3-star
"Where I come from ... I had to block for Leonard Fournette, I played on the same team as Tyrann Mathieu," Morgan said. "It's just guys like that around me that made me want to work harder, just to keep going and give it my all. It's something that I was born with."
Stanley Morgan Jr. was a consistent and productive wide receiver during his time at Nebraska. He projects as a "Z" receiver in the NFL, but is probably better suited to play in the slot because of his skill set. Might be the best route runner in the entire 2019 WR draft class.
There's no questioning his toughness and competitiveness. His passion for the game shows up on tape. Unafraid to carry his routes across the middle of field. Possess good separation ability due to his precise route running and his ability to change directions on a dime. Has an understanding of how to temper his routes as well and has a way of lulling defensive backs to sleep and catching them off guard.
Has soft natural hands and shows good technique at the catch point. Shows the ability to make contested catches. Large catch radius. Excellent catch focus and body control. Shows the ability to climb the ladder and high point passes. Unfazed with DBs draped on him and shows good spatial awareness along the sideline. Has a little wiggle to be a threat after the catch, but doesn't have homerun ability.
Stanley Morgan Jr. could be labeled as "just a guy" as a wide receiver prospect. There is nothing really special about his game and he has just average speed and athleticism. Despite his productivity and consistency at Nebraska, he may have already reached his peak.
Morgan may be nothing more than a slot receiver in the NFL. He doesn't possess the necessary speed to be a threat down the field and doesn't show a lot of burst out of his breaks. Average speed will limit his big-play ability as well. Struggles to beat press coverage, which could cause cornerbacks to sit on underneath routes.
Doesn't offer anything on special teams. Had a handful of opportunities at Nebraska as a kick and punt returner with very little success. Doesn't show a lot of functional strength on film. Lack of strength and power limits his blocking ability in the passing game. Arrested for marijuana possession in May 2017.
Although Stanley Morgan Jr. has the ability to play the "Z" position with the Dallas Cowboys, they would likely move him into the slot full-time as Cole Beasley's replacement now that he's officially moved on to the Buffalo Bills. He may not have the same kind of change of direction skills as Beasley, but Morgan's precise route running ability immediately makes him a threat in the Cowboys aerial attack as a rookie.
Morgan unfortunately doesn't offer much, if anything, on special teams. He returned a few kickoffs and punts during his time at Nebraska, but had marginal success. He will probably never be more than a WR3 and might have already reached his peak as a prospect, but he is the type of WR who can have a long career in the NFL. As a potential mid-round draft pick he is an intriguing slot option for the Cowboys, but probably won't help fans forget about No. 11 anytime soon.
Cowboys Draft Dilemma: Deebo Samuel (Rd. 2) vs. Stanley Morgan Jr. (Rd. 4)
There are a lot of fans around Cowboys Nation who are hoping former South Carolina Wide Receiver Deebo Samuel is still on the board when the Dallas Cowboys are on the clock in the second-round with the 58th overall selection. Samuel is the dream replacement for Cole Beasley for a lot of us, but would likely be a luxury this early in the draft instead of a need.
I don't want to rain on the parade for all you Deebo Samuel fans, myself included, but I don't know if the Cowboys would pull the trigger on a WR that early. This is especially true considering there is someone who I believe compares favorably to Samuel and could be available at least two rounds later. In case you haven't figured out yet, I'm talking about former Nebraska WR Stanley Morgan Jr.
Deebo Samuel of course is the more hyped WR and is in the running as one of the top five receivers in the 2019 draft class, but Stanley Morgan Jr. shouldn't be considered a consolation prize. These two WRs could be a carbon copy of one another on paper and tested surprisingly similar at the NFL Combine as well.
Don't take my word for it of course. Take a look for yourself…
Stanley Morgan Jr.
|Arm length||31 3/8"||32 3/8"|
|Hand size||10"||9 7/8"|
|20 yard shuffle||4.14||4.13|
|3 cone drill||7.03||6.78|
As you can see from the measurements and the testing, Deebo Samuel and Stanley Morgan Jr. are amazingly similar on paper. The similarities don't end there though. Both players are devastating with the ball in their hands and easily create separation through their route stems.
The only real difference I have seen between the two is Samuel is a little more thickly built and has been more productive as an outside receiver so far in his career. He is also the more powerful of the two, which serves him well in contested catch situations. That's not saying Morgan can't be just as effective as an outside WR. He just wasn't utilized in that manner during his time at Nebraska.
As far as the Dallas Cowboys are concerned though, both Samuel and Morgan would be ideal inside/outside WR candidates capable of replacing Cole Beasley in the slot. The only question now is which receiver would the Cowboys prefer?
It's really a tossup if you don't really know these receivers and have never watched them play, but not if you take into consideration what we know about the Dallas Cowboys. They like bargains, which is why I have a hard time believing they wouldn't be bargain shoppers in the 2019 NFL Draft like they have been so far in free agency.
As much as we all love Deebo Samuel and the skill set he would bring to the Cowboys, investing a second-round pick might be too high for Dallas considering they can get a similar player at least two rounds later. Stanley Morgan Jr. is a bargain I just don't think they could pass up.
This is all speculation of course, but it's definitely something to take into consideration when the 2019 NFL Draft gets underway.
Deebo Samuel or Stanley Morgan Jr.? Which receiver would you draft?
Cowboys Draft Target: Mississippi State S Johnathan Abram
NAME: Johnathan Abram
SCHOOL: Mississippi State
JERSEY: No. 38
RECRUITMENT RATING: 3-star
HT: 5' 11 3/8"
|Tackles||Tackles||Tackles||Tackles||Tackles||Def Int||Def Int||Def Int||Def Int||Def Int||Fumbles||Fumbles||Fumbles||Fumbles|
Johnathan Abram, playing for the Bulldogs of Mississippi State University, is considered the hardest hitting safety in college football. He's top NFL prospect, who is projected to be selected in the late 1st to early 2nd round(s) of the 2019 NFL Draft.
Johnathan Abram's biggest strength as a safety prospect is his ability to play around the line of scrimmage as a box safety, which is why he's projected to be a strong safety in the NFL. Possesses the prototypical size for the position. He also has the ability and skill set to play a hybrid safety/linebacker role as well.
Abram is at his best when he's playing downhill and sideline to sideline against the run. His size, strength, and physicality allow him to stack and shed blocks like a linebacker. Aggressive tackler who is always looking to deliver a big hit. Also shows good technique to get his head across the ball carrier's chest while wrapping up to make the tackle.
Shows adequate range and speed in coverage. Is able to flip his hips and redirect to change direction quickly, but there is some stiffness there as well. Has the size and athletic ability to match up with tight ends. Shows an understanding of route recognition. His physicality in the run game carries over into the passing game.
The biggest concern about Johnathan Abram's game is his ability, or lack thereof, in coverage. Whether it's an man or zone coverage, he struggles with his responsibilities and can be eaten alive by receivers who know what they're doing. This doesn't bode well for his transition to the NFL, which has become a heavy passing league.
His aggressive nature will get him into trouble in the passing game. Can be clunky in his transitions against good route runners. Will panic and grab when he's caught out of position, which has generated, or should have, flags being thrown. Lack of desired range will keep him from becoming a deep safety, making him a strong safety only.
Questionable ball skills. Only has two interceptions and 10 pass deflections in his career. Struggles locating the ball and doesn't show instincts or anticipation to jump routes. Can be too aggressive against the run, causing him to over pursue and create cutback lanes.
If the Dallas Cowboys are looking for a hard-hitting strong safety who excels around the line of scrimmage, then Johnathan Abram is their guy. He is a heatseeking missile when playing downhill or sideline to sideline, and would play that Kam Chancellor type role on the backend of Kris Richard's defense. He has outstanding size and speed for the position, and is a more fluid athlete then he's given credit for. More of a "traditional" throwback safety.
Abram unfortunately struggles in coverage, despite showing good range and long speed. He may be nothing more than a box safety or nickel/dime linebacker in the NFL. This could hurt his chances of landing with the Cowboys, especially if they are looking for an interchangeable safety to pair with Xavier Woods. But, if there are looking for that "enforcer" type of player, they'd probably have to take him at 58 in the second-round because it's unlikely he will still be there when they're on the clock in the third-round.
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