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Patience in Contract Negotiations Set to Pay Off for Dak Prescott

John Williams



Though It Might've Been Inevitable, Dak Prescott Has Earned A Contract Extension

In negotiations, whether it be for an item you find at a garage sale, attempting to get your kid to eat green beans, or signing your franchise quarterback to a long-term extension, is about who will blink first. As soon as one side gives an indication that they're ready to bend, the other side of the negotiation table can take advantage and get terms more appealing to their side.

When it comes to Dak Prescott's long-term contract extension, both his representatives and the Dallas Cowboys have been very patient in agreeing to terms. As Russell Wilson and Ben Roethlisberger reset the quarterback market, Dak and the Cowboys played the waiting game. In particular, they waited to see what would happen with the other two franchise quarterbacks from the 2016 NFL Draft; Carson Wentz and Jared Goff.

Yesterday, it was announced that the Philadelphia Eagles and Quarterback Carson Wentz have agreed to a four-year extension that will keep him under team control through the 2024 season. After the Eagles picked up his fifth-year rookie option this offseason, they had control through 2020.

With Wentz now setting the market for that first post-rookie contract at $32 million per year and $107 million guaranteed over the life of the deal, Dak Prescott and his representatives now have a hard number from a contemporary of Prescott with which to work within negotiations. It's been speculated that Prescott would likely come in around $30 million per year on his next deal, but with Wentz hitting $32 million per year, Prescott and his representatives could push for more.

It's pretty easy to make a case that Prescott has had a better career thus far than Carson Wentz and he's definitely been more durable than the Eagles signal caller. In each of the last two seasons, Carson Wentz has suffered season-ending injuries. In those seasons, the Eagles relied upon now Jacksonville Jaguars Quarterback to lead them to the playoffs, including that miracle run to the Super Bowl in 2017. Dak has started 51 games in his career and has been to the playoffs twice.

Totals Table
Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Rush Rush Rush Rush
Player AV G QBrec Cmp% Yds TD Rate Int Sk Y/A AY/A Att Yds TD Y/A
Dak Prescott 44 48 32-16-0 66.1 10876 67 96.0 25 113 7.4 7.52 189 944 18 5.0
Carson Wentz 33 40 23-17-0 63.7 10152 70 92.5 28 92 7.0 7.11 144 542 2 3.8
Provided by View Original Table
Generated 6/7/2019.

Carson Wentz may have a better passing yardage per game and more passing touchdowns than Dak Prescott in fewer games, but he also has more interceptions than Prescott does in fewer games. Prescott's 18 rushing touchdowns can't be ignored either while averaging a full yard per carry more than Wentz in their three seasons in the NFL.

Prescott has posted a better completion percentage and quarterback rating in their respective careers. If you want to look at yards per attempt and air yards per attempt, Prescott has Wentz beat on those numbers as well.

Not only has Prescott had more regular season success than Carson Wentz, but he's also had more postseason success as well. Though Dak is 1-2 in the playoffs, he's played well and had the Cowboys in position to win the games they lost only to fall short. Those early career playoff setbacks can be formative for a young player. Armed with that experience, he knows what to expect in a playoff atmosphere and will only be better the next time out.

When the Dallas Cowboys and Dak Prescott's representatives meet back at the negotiation table, this Carson Wentz contract is going to be a huge talking point. At least on Dak's side of things. Prior to Wentz signing his extension, everyone was sort of guessing at what Dak Prescott's value would be as the Cowboys franchise quarterback.

Though Prescott and the Cowboys have been slowly working to an extension, neither side wanting to give too much in the negotiation, this development favors Prescott in those talks. As a front office, sometimes it's better to let someone else set the market on a player you are unsure that you're going to bring back. Much like the Cowboys did with Cole Beasley. However, when it's a player you have every intention of being a part of your long-term plans, it's better to get them locked up a little early than a little late. For example, DeMarcus Lawrence.

The Dallas Cowboys front office took a gamble on what the quarterback market would be for Dak Prescott and his contemporaries, and the Philadelphia Eagles did them no favors with Carson Wentz's contract.

Because Dak Prescott is likely to be the next big name from the 2016 quarterback class to get his deal, there's a very real possibility that the average annual salary will come in higher than the $32 million per year that Wentz received.

That's the way the quarterback market goes. Up. For Dak Prescott, taking his time to negotiate his contract extension will pay off big for him.

And for the Dallas Cowboys.

Dallas Cowboys optimist bringing factual reasonable takes to Cowboys Nation and the NFL Community. I wasn't always a Cowboys fan, but I got here as quick as I could.


Star Blog

Can TE Blake Jarwin Poach Snaps From Jason Witten?

Brian Martin



Will TE Blake Jarwin see an Increased Offensive Role in 2019?
(Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)

Don't look now, but Tight End Blake Jarwin may be ready to climb out of obscurity and announce to the world his ready for a much larger offensive role with the Dallas Cowboys. With Jason Witten back in the mix though, that could be easier said than done.

Jason Witten is expected to become the Dallas Cowboys starting TE once again, even after sitting out the entire 2018 season due to his short retirement from the NFL. With Witten back as the lead dog, Blake Jarwin and Dalton Schultz will have to fight over the scraps left over. There's no way of really knowing how much meat will be left on the bone, especially since the Cowboys are expected to put No. 82 on a snap count this season.

Being put on a snap count is something Witten is unaccustomed to, but it does create opportunities for the Cowboys other young TEs to emerge and show what they can do. That's actually really good news for Blake Jarwin, who finished the 2018 regular-season on a strong note.

You may have forgotten, but Jarwin had himself a pretty impressive game in the Week 17 against the New York Giants to close out the 2018 regular-season. He caught seven passes for 119 yards and three touchdowns in that contest, which in my opinion showcased the kind of weapon he can be if utilized more often in in the passing game.

Blake Jarwin, Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys TE Blake Jarwin

It takes more than one impressive game to earn more playing time though. We all want to believe Blake Jarwin is ready for an increased offensive role, but Jason Witten isn't going to sit idly by as an observer from the sideline. He's a competitor and will want to be on the field as much as possible, despite any kind of snap count the coaching staff tries to limit him to.

Jarwin is really going to have to become a much more consistent player if he wants to poach some offensive snaps away from the future Hall of Famer. I believe the talent and athleticism is there for him to become a key weapon in the Cowboys passing game, but you know what they say… "Seeing is believing".

Luckily, Blake Jarwin still has all of training camp and preseason to push Jason Witten for more playing time in 2019. It shouldn't be all that difficult for a 24-year-old in his prime to put the pressure on someone nearly 20 years his senior. But, we all know Witten is a crafty veteran who knows the all the tricks of the trade to still perform at a high level. Will it be enough though?

That is the question that will be determined here in about a month when training gets underway for the Dallas Cowboys. I may be wrong, but I have high hopes for Blake Jarwin this season and I think he can actually poach some snaps away from Jason Witten. After all, this is a young man's game.

Do you think Blake Jarwin can poach some snaps away from Jason Witten?

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Star Blog

Is Kavon Frazier Fighting a Losing Battle With the Dallas Cowboys?

Brian Martin



Is Kavon Frazier Fighting a Losing Battle With the Dallas Cowboys?

Dallas Cowboys Safety Kavon Frazier has one year remaining on his rookie contract, but may not see the end of it with the same team who drafted him. In fact, it really looks as if he is already fighting a losing battle in Dallas.

The Dallas Cowboys signed Free Agent George Iloka and drafted Donavan Wilson out of Texas A&M in the sixth-round of the 2019 NFL Draft in the hopes of upgrading the safety position. That doesn't bode well for Kavon Frazier, especially after seeing his defensive snaps take hit in 2018.

After the arrival of Defensive Backs Coach and Passing Game Coordinator Kris Richard, Frazier saw his playing time on defense go from 21.24% in 2017 to 18.07% in 2018. It's not a huge difference, but it's pretty obvious the Cowboys value his special-teams ability, not his defensive play.

The way I see things, Kavon Frazier is a longshot to make the Cowboys final 53-man roster this year. At best, I have him fifth or sixth on the depth chart right now. Since Dallas typically only carries four safeties on the roster, it's looking as if Frazier could inevitably be the odd man out.

Kavon Frazier

Dallas Cowboys S Kavon Frazier

I personally have Xavier Woods, Jeff Heath, and George Iloka ahead of Kavon Frazier right now on the depth chart. That means he's competing with Darian Thompson, who is also playing on a one-year deal, and rookie Donovan Wilson for that fourth and final roster spot at the safety position. Unfortunately for Frazier, it looks as if the odds are against him.

Donovan Wilson has already had to step into Frazier's shoes while he was out in OTA's after having his knee scoped, and has been pretty impressive doing so. He has supposedly picked up the defensive scheme pretty quickly and is becoming a vocal leader on the backend. Being a younger, cheaper option, Wilson has a better chance of sticking around on the final 53-man roster over Frazier.

As you can see, Kavon Frazier is fighting an uphill battle with the Dallas Cowboys. It of course is nothing new for him. He's had to fight his way onto the roster ever since he joined the Cowboys, but this year just seems a little different in my opinion. It just looks as if the odds are more against him this time around.

I have no doubts Frazier will continue to fight with every ounce of his being, but if I'm being completely honest I think he's fighting a losing battle. It's going to be really interesting to see how this roster battle at the safety position plays out in training camp and preseason.

Do you think Kavon Frazier is fighting a losing battle with the Dallas Cowboys?

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Star Blog

Dallas Cowboys: The Case For Regression In 2019

Kevin Brady



Predicting Dallas Cowboys Roster Locks, Pre-Training Camp Edition
Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

It's been a few years since things around the Dallas Cowboys felt this good prior to a season. Coming off a 10-6 year in which Dallas won both the NFC East and a home playoff game before losing a one possession road game to the future NFC champions, Cowboys Nation is expecting some big things in 2019.

After all, the Cowboys went out and improved their roster in multiple ways this offseason and brought in some new blood on their offensive coaching staff. Spirits are high among Cowboys Nation, and just about everyone is anticipating a two team race for the NFC East.

But some numbers indicate we should be thinking "not so fast."

The details of the 2018 season are not as pretty as the total picture. Rarely are they ever, of course, but these particular details point towards possible regression for the Cowboys in 2019.

Basically, their point differential a year ago spells out impending doom. (That was dramatic, but let's discuss).

The Cowboys were +15 in 2018, and by pythagorean wins expectation, they were about as strong as an 8-8 team (8.53 wins to be exact). This means they won nearly 2 more games (1.47) than would be expected, fourth most in the entire NFL.

This point is furthered when looking at their record in one possession games. Dallas went 8-2 when the game was decided by 7 points or less, winning close games at a rate that is simply not sustainable year to year.

These numbers make the Cowboys a prime candidate for regression in 2019, as they were in 2017.

Why The Numbers Expect Regression, But Success For Cowboys In 2017

Back in 2016, the Cowboys outperformed their pythagorean expectation by a whole 2 wins. The following season? Dallas finished the year 9-7. The model also indicated that the 7-9 Eagles performed 2 wins under expectations in 2016, meaning they would get back on track in 2017. As we know, they ended up winning 13 games and the Super Bowl the following season.

Of course, this isn't set-in-stone, and the Cowboys very well could outperform these expectations and avoid regression. This would mainly hinge on their coaching staff and quarterback performing at an elite level, carrying them through close games and winning more games by greater than one possession.

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