Almost any other season, a team’s first-round draft pick is going to be the most important rookie on the roster. Often, they are drafted to the position with the greatest immediate need. But for the 2018 Dallas Cowboys, third-round Wide Receiver Michael Gallup is the guy that the team needs most.
Dallas drafted Linebacker Leighton Vander Esch in the first round of last April’s draft. In the second round they took Offensive Lineman Connor Williams. The Cowboys hope both will have starting roles on this year’s team.
But given the other talent at those positions, it’s receiver where Dallas most needs a rookie to excel.
For Vander Esch in 2018, his ceiling is probably to start in the base 4-3 defense and then rotate in the nickel scheme. That means pushing Damien Wilson to the bench, but still having to push for reps with Sean Lee and Jaylon Smith when the team only has two linebackers on the field.
That’s no small role, and especially if Leighton end up as the starting middle linebacker. But Dallas, like most NFL teams, uses their nickel scheme more than any other.
Vander Esch’s importance is almost more about potential injury to Sean or Jaylon, where he can hopefully step in and perform quickly. But if those two stay healthy, Vander Esch may not have a much bigger role than Damien Wilson did last year.
Second-round pick Connor Williams is going to get the first crack at being the team’s new starting left guard. You could easily make a case that that’s more important than the role Vander Esch will have this year.
But Dallas has a lot of options if Williams doesn’t immediately excel.
They could flip Right Tackle La’el Collins back to guard and try Connor at his college position of tackle. They might also start veteran Cameron Fleming at RT and make Williams a versatile reserve.
Dallas also has veterans Chaz Green, Joe Looney, and Marcus Martin on the roster competing at guard.
These options make Williams’ success less critical to the 2018 Cowboys. As with Vander Esch, there’s a cushion for if the rookie doesn’t show up right away.
Given the state of things at receiver, Michael Gallup doesn’t have that same cushion.
Without the rookie, Dallas has Allen Hurns, Cole Beasley, Terrance Williams, Deonte Thompson, as the only established players on the WR depth chart. Each one has a red flag.
Hurns has never succeeded as the top receiver in an offense. His best years in Jacksonville were when Allen Robinson was WR1 and Hurns could do damage with less attention. He needs other guys to keep defenses honest to be effective.
The same goes for Beasley, who had a strong season in 2016 but then wilted last year when teams realized he was the bigger threat than Dez Bryant or Jason Witten. Cole was effectively taken out by opposing defensive coordinators, dropping to the fourth on the team in catches.
Terrance Williams is the guy Dallas probably wish they could cut but whose contract makes it unprofitable. His recent personal issues, on top of years of underwhelming play, don’t inspire confidence that he can help balance the offense.
Deonte Thompson broke out a little with the Buffalo Bills last year despite their overall passing issues, but he’s 29 and didn’t do anything between 2012-2016. He’s a vertical threat who might help in some situations, but is doubtful as a major piece of the offense.
This is why Dallas needs Michael Gallup to show up right now. Without some new spark in the passing game, next season could be unfortunately similar to 2017.
While a full season from Ezekiel Elliott will hopefully make life easier for Dak Prescott this year, the Cowboys’ quarterback still needs receiver who can make defenses nervous. None of the players we just talked about will do that, lacking the cache of Bryant or Witten from a few years ago.
While a full season from Ezekiel Elliott will hopefully make life easier for Dak Prescott this year, the Cowboys’ quarterback still needs receiver who can make defenses nervous. None of the players we just talked about will do that, lacking the cache of Bryant or Witten from a few years ago.
Of course, we recognize that Michael Gallup is just a third-round draft pick. Expecting him to come in and immediately change the fortune of the offense could be asking way too much.
That doesn’t change need, though. Dallas can afford for Leighton Vander Esch or Connor Williams to take a year to develop. But if Gallup doesn’t show up right away, we could see a lot more of guys not getting open and Prescott getting flustered.
Hopefully, the absence of Dez and Jason this year will make the Cowboys less predictable. It will keep defenses guessing enough to help all of these players take advantage.
But nothing will help more than an infusion of new, exciting talent. If Michael can make an early impact, teams will have to adjust. That will open the door much wider for his teammates.
Again, it may be asking too much. We get that.
But that’s reality for the 2018 Dallas Cowboys. They just lost two future Ring of Honor members from the passing game and the two most targeted players from last year’s offense.
Do you really want Terrance Williams trying to fill that void? Of course not.
While Leighton Vander Esch, Connor Williams, or even fourth-round rookie Tight End Dalton Schultz could make major impacts on the 2018 Cowboys, there is less risk if they don’t. It’s at receiver where Dallas suffers most if their rookie addition doesn’t perform.
Therefore, for 2018, Michael Gallup is the most important rookie on the Dallas Cowboys.
Conner Williams most important for 2018 and it’s not close
Sorry
It is close,,,,,
,,,,,,even if Conner is the most important rookie
I, myself would have to say LVE
Simply because we’re thinnest at the LB position
I will say Gallup second, simply because we’re most unproven at WR
Conner Williams has quite a bit of quality depth should he struggled or is injured which is the context of the article
But if you’re saying Conner as far as securing the O line to wit everything evolves, then I understand you
Although I disagree
I agree that the margin is slim between LB and WR depth. But my premise isn’t just about depth. If Sean Lee and Jaylon Smith are healthy and balling, we’re not asking LVE to be anything more than a part-time player this season. But our other WRs don’t have that kind of upside.
I don’t think we have enough on them to say what’s what
That’s the down side of the unknown WR’s is the exact upside
Nonone knows what to expect for the Dez & Witten plays are out & there has to be an organic, if you will, approach now by defenses instead of game-planning for our 2 Prime targets
If the scouts, coaches, Dak Prescott & Will McClay all feel good about the WR Corp as a whole
& we all know how Noah Brown & Lance Lenoir have constantly been coming on,,,, ,
,,,,our receiving corp isn’t in a negative at all
It’s simply perception
But
I’m too ignorant currently to discern the quality of the WR corp
We all have very valid points, perceptions, & facts we’re basing our opinions
I can understand that opinion given the critical nature of the offensive line. But as I outlined, Dallas has a lot of other options to fill that LG vacancy. I feel way better about Joe Looney starting at LG than Terrance Williams or Deonte Thompson as a starting WR. That’s why I lean towards Gallup.
Jess, I really like your writing but this article is just way too flawed and frankly expect more from your coverage. You fail to address the receiving abilities of our RBs esp. Elliott, Smith & Austin. When Dak targets 8+ WRs his QBR is 116, when he targets 7 or less WRs his QBR drops down to 86. He needs receivers who can be counted on to run precise routes thus your failure to mention Sanjay Lal as new WR coach already paying dividends in teaching WRs how to run routes. Beasley said he was never taught routes, Gallop and Cedric Wilson were BOTH great value draft picks as they excel in route running. Dak needs to read through progressions, Dez had a 52% catch rate and greatly interfered with Dak’s progress in 2017. So…NO with all due respect Gallop doesn’t have to be great but he DOES have to contribute as do all the other WRs. You also fail to mention Noah Brown, Lance Lenoir, AND our TEs although unproven may surprise in certain RECEIVING skills that Witten couldn’t such as ability to stretch the field, Run After Catch, get open down field!
Ethan, your argument is based on a lot of things we haven’t seen yet. Scott Linehan hasn’t used ours RBs the way you described, so until he does you can’t count on that. Tavon Austin failed with the Rams, so until he succeeds here you can’t count on him. The stuff about Sanjay Lal teaching routes sounds great, but we haven’t the results yet. The new TEs could be surprisingly effective, but the key word there is “surprise.” That can go both ways.
The point here is that we KNOW what Hurns, Beasley, and Williams are. They’re all good players but swap Dez for Hurns and we had the same trio last year. We need a spark that opens things up and Gallup has the most potential to provide it. He has the best opportunity to positively impact the entire team.
Agreed
But Cedric Wilson college tape # raves are just as impressive
Then we have Thompson’s deep threat speed
I’m basing my assessment on the spread the ball around aspect
Even Gallup has yet to be used if we reverse your last take on the yet to be proven
So IF their approach manifest it will lessen Gallup production unless they’re wrong in raving about the other WR rookies etc
True but if we think really if th top 3 rookies LVE is not expected to have the same impact as Gallup or Williams unless Jaylon or Sean lee gets injured not actually so unrealistic. I believe Williams is the more important rookie as the O line is the heart and soul of the team.
I believe Connor will be fine. Vander esch is my worry. I think Gallup will be good at times. But give him a year or two, he will be a terror.
Most important rookie is LVE because of what happens to this defense when Sean Lee goes out is typically the story of this defense most years.