DAL at SF: The bad, the bad, & the ugly

Oct 9, 2023
21
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DAL at SF: What went wrong? 3

Nobody likes to show up to work Monday morning after the Dallas Cowboys lose, but it’s even worse after they suffer that type of beat down at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers.

I mentioned it throughout the week. No one should have expected the Cowboys to win by a blowout.

The storylines and matchups headed into this game hinted at a close game that could go either way.

Personally, I had the Niners winning a close one 23-19.

Boy, was I wrong. Instead, the Cowboys got absolutely thrashed by the score of 42-10.

It could have been much worse, but 49ers HC Kyle Shanahan showed mercy and inserted his backups with 12 minutes left in the final quarter.

Last week, I wrote about how past performances in certain aspects of the game could not be repeated if Dallas hoped to change the narrative and leave California with a win.

However, several old demons manifested themselves last night in San Francisco, and they led directly to the blowout loss.

DAL at SF: What went wrong?
49ers LB Fred Warner punches the ball loose for a fumble on a carry by Cowboys RB Tony Pollard

Turnovers

One thing NFL teams cannot do is lose the turnover battle, and still expect to win games.

The gap in talent across the board in the NFL is much smaller, and turnovers bridge that gap quickly.

Even against “lesser” teams, losing the turnover battle usually loses you the game.

Dallas must not have gotten the memo because they finished (-3) in turnover margin, and turned the ball over four times.

The first was a fumble by Tony Pollard that prompted the football to do it’s best Mission Impossible impersonation.

After being punched out of Pollard’s arm by 49ers LB Fred Warner, the ball rolled right along the sideline, avoiding the white line and several pairs of feet belonging to 49ers’ defenders.

It seemed to roll forever until finally being pounced on by a 49ers defensive lineman just inside the boundary.

Down 28-10 about halfway through the 3rd quarter, the Cowboys turned the ball over on three straight possessions to blow the game wide open.

Three straight interceptions thrown by Dak Prescott is the real reason this game turned out to be a blowout.

The first was on a 1st & 10 from their own 37.

Prescott executed the play action fake, and fired the ball downfield looking for Brandin Cooks.

49ers S Tashaun Gipson ran down the overthrown ball, and fielded it like a punt for the interception.

On the next possession, Prescott tried to throw a slant to Michael Gallup, but the defensive back stuck his arm between the ball and the receiver’s hands.

The ball careened into the air and was intercepted by a sprinting Fred Warner.

One play later, the 49ers extended their lead to 32 points.

On the next possession, Prescott again tried to rifle a slant to Gallup, but another 49ers linebacker stepped right in front of the throw for the interception.

DAL at SF: What went wrong? 1
49ers QB Brock Purdy scrambles away from the Cowboys pass rush

Poor 3rd Down Execution

In the previous two playoff games versus the 49ers, Dallas converted just 10 of 29 3rd down attempts, a 34% rate.

Leading up to the game in San Francisco, the Cowboys’ offense was tops in the league on converting 3rd downs at a 51.6% clip.

The 49ers defense proved to be much stingier, holding Dallas to four conversions on 11 attempts, a 36.6% rate.

Here are the Cowboys’ distances to go and results on each of their 11 3rd downs:

  • 3rd & 9, incomplete pass
  • 3rd & 3, sack
  • 3rd & 2, sack
  • 3rd & 1, Prescott sneak (converted)
  • 3rd & 7, 20 yards to Ferguson (converted)
  • 3rd & 4, 26 yard TD to Turpin (converted)
  • 3rd & 5, three yards to Ferguson
  • 3rd & 4, -1 yard rush
  • 3rd & 3, eight yard rush (converted)
  • 3rd & 6, sack
  • 3rd & 20, two yard rush

Three of those four conversions happened on the only drive the Cowboys scored a touchdown.

Seems simple. Convert 3rd downs, and it leads to success.

On the defensive side, Dallas allowed the 49ers to convert on six of 11 attempts at a 54.5% rate.

Here are the 49ers 3rd down distances and results:

  • 3rd & 2, incomplete pass
  • 3rd & 1, two yard rush (converted)
  • 3rd & 5, incomplete pass (1st down by offsides penalty)
  • 3rd & 1, nine yard pass (converted)
  • 3rd & 15, -5 yard rush
  • 3rd & 4, incomplete pass (1st down by unnecessary roughness penalty)
  • 3rd & 2, incomplete pass
  • 3rd & 13, 42 yard pass (converted)
  • 3rd & 2, 10 yard TD pass (converted)
  • 3rd & 2, 19 yard pass (converted)
  • 3rd & 1, one yard rush (converted)
  • 3rd & 17, one yard pass
  • 3rd & 7, rush for no gain

The 1st downs by penalty aren’t counted as conversions by the offense, so in reality the Cowboys defense allowed eight conversions on 13 attempts.

Can you spot the biggest difference between the Cowboys’ 3rd downs and the 49ers’ 3rd downs?

Dallas averaged a distance of 6.1 yards, and did not have any 1st downs by penalty.

San Francisco averaged a distance of 5.5 yards, and had two drives extended by unforced penalties on the Cowboys’ part.

DAL at SF: What went wrong? 2
ARLINGTON, TEXAS – JANUARY 16: Samson Ebukam #56 and Nick Bosa #97 of the San Francisco 49ers sack Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys during the first quarter in the NFC Wild Card Playoff game at AT&T Stadium on January 16, 2022 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images)

Offensive Line Play

Cowboys fans were confident heading into this game because it would mark the first time since 2021 that the best five on the offensive line would take the field together.

That confidence was quickly squashed after it took over 17 minutes for Dallas to get their first 1st down.

Prior to that 1st down, the Cowboys had eight total yards, had allowed two sacks, and fumbled the ball away.

The Cowboys offensive line would eventually give up four total sacks, only three 1st downs by rush, and couldn’t protect Prescott long enough to attempt any throws downfield.

San Francisco’s offensive line was on the complete opposite end of the spectrum.

Brock Purdy was officially sacked once, but it was a scramble that Jayron Kearse ran down from the back side.

Purdy was kept as clean as could be, and was allowed to stand in the pocket with no pressure for most of his 24 drop backs.

San Francisco did not fear the Cowboys’ pass rush whatsoever, even coming out in empty sets on 3rd and long attempts.

Star pass rusher Micah Parsons did not register a QB hit for the first time all season, and is credited with only one pressure.

When lined up over RT Colton McKivitz, Parsons was frequently double-teamed.

DC Dan Quinn countered by moving him to the other side, where perennial All-Pro Trent Williams handled him all by himself.

The stark contrast in offensive line play between the two teams is a good indicator of why the final score was 42-10.

In conclusion, there isn’t much more to say besides the Cowboys got whooped.

There should be no Super Bowl talk, or even talks of a deep playoff run after such a terrible performance against the team that has my vote for the best team in the NFC.

Mario Herrera Jr.

Mario Herrera Jr.

Mario Herrera Jr. is a sports analyst specializing in statistical analysis and Dallas Cowboys coverage. At InsideTheStar.com, he has published 692 articles reaching over 1.1 million readers. His work integrates metrics with strategy in the context of Cowboys football, providing evidence-based analysis of roster decisions, player performance, and game planning.

21 Comments
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Brian McVicker
Brian McVicker
Oct 9, 2023 9:39 AM

They need to do something that was a ridiculous game

Patton Slaughter
Patton Slaughter
Oct 9, 2023 10:02 AM

I would rather lose to the 49ers in the regular season (doesn’t matter if they lose by 32 points or 1 point, still a loss). Hopefully the Cowboys can make the playoffs and potentially play the 49ers again and get their revenge then. But that remains to be seen.

Jared Pompa
Jared Pompa
Oct 9, 2023 10:28 AM

The Team was not prepared. Dak is a sub par QB. The O-Line has been below average for 3 years. The General Manager has shown time and time again that he can’t get it done.

I was raised a Cowboys fan. I’m loyal by nature. But, I’m not sure how long I can stay in this abusive relationship. We’ve been lied to, taken advantage of, manipulated, and sold a sack of garbage for too many years.

Someone tell me why I should stick around…

Mitch Dekoven
Mitch Dekoven
Oct 9, 2023 11:50 AM
Reply to  Jared Pompa

Jared Pompa Dallas has a ton of talent. GM doing a good job. Young etc

Jared Pompa
Jared Pompa
Oct 9, 2023 11:53 AM
Reply to  Jared Pompa

Mitch Dekoven gm has failed at bringing in a good HC. Tallent means nothing without a leader to lead them to their ultimate goal. The GM wants too much of the glory. Greed will continue to get the best of him.

Mitch Dekoven
Mitch Dekoven
Oct 9, 2023 11:56 AM
Reply to  Jared Pompa

Jared Pompa true on head coach

William Denniston
William Denniston
Oct 9, 2023 12:33 PM

Bench Dak.

Tim Collier
Tim Collier
Oct 9, 2023 12:49 PM

If I were the head coach, I wouldn’t want to show up to practice today, becaused I have let the team down. If I were the America’s Team players, I wouldn’t want to show up either after the embarrassing lack of play which you guys displayed . After 55 years of supporting the Cowboys, I am on the edge of forgetting the whole mess that you have created! Cannot jump ship, so to speak, because my heart has always been with the blue and silver, but my heart is no longer willing to accept this organization and the tremendous letdowns.

Channah Polis
Channah Polis
Oct 9, 2023 12:59 PM

All the injuries due to late out of bounds hits is the icing on the crap cake

Rudy Arias
Rudy Arias
Oct 9, 2023 1:52 PM

Everything ugly

Matthew Haley
Matthew Haley
Oct 9, 2023 1:55 PM

The bad, the ugly, the normal you mean. Team hasn’t been worth a fuck for 28 years

Roy Guerrero
Roy Guerrero
Oct 9, 2023 1:56 PM

DAK Sucks

Francisco Guerra
Francisco Guerra
Oct 9, 2023 2:12 PM

They need to get it together. Stop talking and show up to play with a higher intensity on very play and from everyone on the team.

VAM
VAM
Oct 9, 2023 5:42 PM

Been commenting for years my opinion on this player at QB1. Every year just give me more evidence that he will not get the team to the big game. Not even sure the team makes the playoffs after this debacle. If they don’t rebound vs Chargers, there may be a very deserved shakeup coming soon.

Saeed Ghaemi
Saeed Ghaemi
Oct 9, 2023 8:50 PM

No discipline, stupid penalties and Mr INT

Dick Boley
Dick Boley
Oct 9, 2023 11:14 PM

Officiating did not loose the game but it was very marginal. Jerry needs to send a report to Blandino.

JW Fisher
JW Fisher
Oct 10, 2023 6:48 AM

Cooper Rush time. Lamb should be thrown to at least 10x a game. Cooks barely sees the ball.

Wesley Lynch
Wesley Lynch
Oct 10, 2023 7:05 AM

If Jerry don’t get rid of Dak after this year ,I’m done with the Cowboys .

Joe Fitzpatrick
Joe Fitzpatrick
Oct 11, 2023 6:54 AM

This team will not make the playoffs!

Dexter Polk
Dexter Polk
Oct 12, 2023 12:37 PM

If we are real fans we got to move on to the next game the team preparing for the chargers

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