It is week 11, and we may have the best DraftKings showdown slate of the season. Two high-powered offensive units are going up against two exploitable defenses. This game should have plenty of fireworks. Las Vegas is thinking the same thing as the over/under in this game is at a sky-high 56.5 points.
There is no shortage of weapons to choose from in this game. However, finding value in a game like this is always a tall order. Let's take a look at this explosive matchup.
TE Travis Kelce ($14,100) – Travis Kelce is the best tight end in the league by a mile, and he is pretty much matchup proof.
It's always hard to choose between Kelce or Tyreek Hill when doing a Kansas City showdown game. I'm giving the nod to Kelce in this one; the tight end is coming off an eight-catch 119-yard performance against the Las Vegas Raiders. Kelce has seen ten-plus targets five times on the season. He has never seen less than six targets and has a 22% target share on the season.
Dallas ranks 23rd in DraftKings points given up to tight ends. To top it off Kelce is ranked fifth in yards after the catch and, Dallas gives up loads of yards after the catch this season. They are the second-worst team in terms of yards given up after the catch per reception.
Get Kelce in your lineup at all costs.
QB Dak Prescott ($16,800) – Dak Prescott needs to play lights out for the Cowboys to win this game. He is going to need to go toe to toe with Patrick Mahomes. Fortunately for Dak and the Cowboys, the Chiefs rank 31st in DraftKings points given up to opposing quarterbacks.
Dak has thrown for two or more touchdowns in every game but one this season, and he has five games with three or more touchdowns. Prescott has scored 25.7 or more DraftKings points in five of his eight starts.
The floor on Dak is incredible, and his ceiling is also sky high.
WR Michael Gallup ($5,000) – Amari Cooper has been placed on the Covid-19 list and will miss the game. Although devastating for the Cowboys, this makes playing Gallup a no-brainer. You may even want to put him in the captain spot to fit in more studs if you're feeling frisky.
The 5k price tag is an absolute steal with Cooper out. He had the potential to go for 15-20 DraftKings points if Cooper was playing, but Cooper's absence elevates his ceiling significantly.
In his first game back since week one, Gallup had three receptions on five targets for 42 yards. It could have been even more if he didn't drop a wide-open pass that probably would have resulted in 15-20 more yards.
Gallup is a deep-ball threat. Last week he led the Cowboys in average depth of target.
The Chiefs give up 31.7 yards per deep completion and 12.5% of deep passes completed against the Chiefs secondary have resulted in a touchdown.
TE Dalton Schultz ($5,200) – Dalton Schultz has come back down to earth after his nice four-game stretch at the beginning of the season. However, much like with Gallup, Amari Cooper's absence will help Schultz in this game.
His salary has drastically declined in recent weeks, and if you choose to go with Schultz over the likes of CeeDee Lamb, you can fit both Patrick Mahomes and Prescott in your lineup. That is a good thing in a game with an over/under of 56.5.
The Chiefs have struggled against tight ends at times this season, surrendering over 100 yards to the position in three different games. The Chiefs also allowed six touchdowns in a five-game span earlier in the season to the tight end position.
Ultimately, Schultz is a reliable pass catcher for Dak and trusted in big spots. Even though he has struggled as of late, he has seen fewer than five targets in a game only one time since week two.
WR Byron Pringle ($1,800) – Byron Pringle is not a sexy name by any means, but with so many high-priced options in this game, you are going to have to take a swing at someone like Pringle.
Pringle is coming off a good outing with four grabs for 46 yards and a touchdown on five targets. While it is probably unlikely he scores again, it is worth noting he has had five or more targets in two of his last four games.
The best thing going for Pringle is that Mecole Hardman saw a season-low in snaps last week with just 23, which could open the door for Pringle to be more involved going forward. It won't take much for Pringle to reach his value in this game, and with what figures to be an offensive showcase, why not throw the dart on Pringle?
QB Patrick Mahomes ($11,800) – Mahomes is coming off a five-touchdown 400-yard performance that saw him earn 39.2 DraftKings points. That was his third 30-plus-point DraftKings performance of the season.
Although Mahomes does have ten interceptions on the season, he has none in his last two games. Don't overthink this. Get Mahomes in your lineup.