How likely is Dallas winning Super Bowl LX? Don’t bet on it

4 months ago
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3 mins read
Colorful Super Bowl logo featuring the NFL trophy, San Francisco Golden Gate Bridge, city skyline, mountains, trees, and vibrant backgrounds, promoting the upcoming Super Bowl event.

With training camp barely a few days old, several sports betting sites are laying down the odds of every NFL team winning Super Bowl LX in February.

Depending on how you look at it, it either doesn’t look good for the Dallas Cowboys. Or, you could make a boatload of cash if you take a flyer on Dallas this year.

The bottom line is that the Cowboys will begin the 2025 season with just a two percent chance to win their sixth championship in February in Santa Clara.

But wouldn’t it be perfect for the Cowboys to pass the 49ers, and tie both New England and Pittsburgh, in championships won on San Francisco’s home field?

ESPN Favors Eagles, Bills

The folks at ESPN put out this chart:

  • TEAM/SB CONF DIVISION WINS (O/U) PLAYOFFS (Y/N)
  • Eagles +650 +300 -145 11.5 (+110 O, -130 U) (-450 | +340)
  • Bills +700 +325 -275 11.5 (-155 O, +135 U) (-750 | +475)
  • Ravens +700 +325 -145 11.5 (-120 O, +100 U) (-500 | +360)
  • Chiefs +750 +350 -120 11.5 (+100 O, -120 U) (-450 | +340)
  • Lions +900 +400 +135 10.5 (+110 O, -130 U) (-215 | +180)
  • 49ers 20-1 +650 +150 10.5 (+110 O, -130 U) (-185 | +155)
  • Bengals 20-1 +850 +225 10.5 (+120 O, -150 U) (-150 | +130)
  • Commanders 20-1 +850 +225 9.5 (-120 O, +100 U) (-150 | +130)
  • Rams 22-1 10-1 +175 9.5 (-140 O, +120 U) (-170 | +145)
  • Packers 22-1 10-1 +260 9.5 (-110 O, -110 U) (-125 | +105)
  • Chargers 25-1 11-1 +300 9.5 (-110 O, -110 U) (-135 | +115)
  • Texans 25-1 12-1 +100 9.5 (+105 O, -125 U) (-155 | +135)
  • Vikings 30-1 11-1 +360 8.5 (-150 O, +130 U) (-105 | -115)
  • Broncos 30-1 15-1 +325 9.5 (+100 O, -120 U) (-110 | -110)
  • Buccaneers 30-1 15-1 +100 9.5 (+100 O, -120 U) (-165 | +140)
  • Bears 30-1 16-1 +450 8.5 (+130 O, -150 U) (+170 | -200)
  • Steelers 40-1 20-1 +550 8.5 (+100 O, -120 U) (+140 | -165)
  • Cardinals 50-1 25-1 +450 8.5 (-125 O, +105 U) (+130 | -150)

Long Odds For Dallas

Per ESPN, the Cowboys are 50-1 to win the Super Bowl and 25-1 to win the NFC East. The over under for Dallas for wins this fall is just 7.5.

It seems the odds-makers aren’t looking at much improvement over last year despite the recent coaching change.

Here’s the rest of the NFL odds:

  • Cowboys 50-1 25-1 +600 7.5 (-145 O, +125 U) (+200 | -240)
  • Seahawks 60- 35-1 +550 8.5 (+130 O, -150 U) (+165 | -195)
  • Falcons 75-1 30-1 +225 7.5 (-130 O, +110 U) (+155 | -185)
  • Patriots 75-1 35-1 +500 8.5 (+100 O, -120 U) (+145 | -170)
  • Dolphins 75-1 35-1 +700 8.5 (+155 O, -185 U) (+190 | -225)
  • Jaguars 100-1 40-1 +300 7.5 (-120 O, +100 U) (+170 | -200)
  • Raiders 100-1 50-1 15-1 6.5 (-155 O, +135 U) (+340 | -450)
  • Colts 100-1 60-1 +350 7.5 (-110 O, -110 U) (+175 | -210)
  • Panthers 150-1 60-1 +400 6.5 (-125 O, +105 U) (+250 | -300)
  • Jets 200-1 75-1 14-1 5.5 (-155 O, +135 U) (+450 | -700)
  • Giants 200-1 75-1 30-1 5.5 (+115 O, -135 U) (+800 | -1600)
  • Browns 200-1 100-1 30-1 4.5 (-175 O, +150 U) (+800 | -1600)
  • Titans 250-1 150-1 +750 5.5 (-145 O, +125 U) (+425 | -650)
  • Saints 300-1 100-1 11-1 5.5 (+115 O, -135 U) (+475 | -750)

Meanwhile, Over At Fox Sports

Over at Fox Sports they have these odds posted.

If you want to save yourself the trouble, they have Dallas with these odds to win the NFC East: +550 (Bet $100 to win $550). The Cowboys, per Fox Sports, have these odds to win the Super Bowl: +5000 (Bet $100 to win $5,000).

The bottom line is, at least with the gambling professionals, the smart money isn’t on Dallas to win much of anything this fall.

Is That You Cody?

Finally, another BetMGM customer is putting five-figure faith in the Dallas Cowboys. The bettor has $10,000 on Dallas +2500 to win the NFC.

In the unlikely event that the Cowboys have a huge year and reach the Super Bowl, the bettor will pocket $250,000.

Inside The Star writer, Cody Warren, recently picked the Cowboys to go 14-3 and steamroll through the playoffs to win the Super Bowl this year. I’ll have to ask him if he has a BetMGM account…

Richard Paolinelli

Richard Paolinelli

Richard Paolinelli is a sports journalist and author. In addition to his work at InsideTheStar.com, he has a Substack -- Dispatches From A SciFi Scribe – where he discusses numerous topics, including sports in general. He started his newspaper career in 1991 with the Gallup (NM) Independent before going to the Modesto (CA) Bee, Gustine (CA) Press-Standard, and Turlock (CA) Journal -- where he won the 2001 Best Sports Story, in the annual California Newspaper Publishers Association’s Better Newspapers Contest. He then moved to the Merced (CA) Sun-Star, Tracy (CA) Press, Patch and finished his career in 2011 with the San Francisco (CA) Examiner. He has written two Non-Fiction sports books, 11 novels, and has over 30 published short stories.

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Edward Carmichael
Edward Carmichael
Jul 24, 2025 8:23 AM

a Dallas Cowboys fan, since the 70’s with Jerry Jones owning and being the Cowboys G.M. the Cowboys will never ever win or go to a super bowl again and all the sports media groups need to wake up and smell the coffee

Cowboys fan
Cowboys fan
Jul 24, 2025 6:00 PM

Dude, you are seriously stupid!! You need to wake up and smell the coffee, and stop smoking that Crack!! First of all, what media group do you watch, cause every one I watch always has the Cowboys missing the playoffs or losing in the 1st round of the playoffs!! NONE OF THEM say they think the Cowboys are going to the Super Bowl!! So whatever your watching, you need to stop cause I think that’s why you come on here making all these stupid comments!!

And another thing is, you said as long as Jerry is the owner and GM of the Cowboys, they’ll never win or go to the Super Bowl…. But if you’ve been a fan since the 70s, then you would know that Jerry has 3 Super Bowl rings on his fingers, so your stupid comment makes no sense!! With Jerry having 3 Super Bowl rings on his fingers, that means his team has won 3 Super Bowls!! Which means your wrong about them not going to the Super Bowl as long as Jerry is the owner and GM!!

And so you know, Jerry isn’t the problem, it’s his son Stephen!! Everything has went to hell since he took more control over the team!! So like I said, try finding a new source for your info, cause you don’t know anything!! And your comments make you look stupid!!

Jay Rudin
Jay Rudin
Jul 24, 2025 9:09 AM

Reminder: The oddsmakers aren’t measuring football teams; they are measuring gamblers. The odds are simply a weighted average of what all gamblers, no matter how knowledgeable or ignorant, will bet on.

50-1 to win the Super Bowl doesn’t mean they think the Cowboys have one chance in fifty to win. It means that at that level, the casinos will make money no matter who wins.

Cowboys fan
Cowboys fan
Jul 24, 2025 6:03 PM
Reply to  Jay Rudin

This writers don’t know what he’s talking about 99% of the time!! I really don’t think he’s a Cowboys fan anyways!! If he is, he’s one of the worst fans I’ve ever seen!! Other than the guy that wrote the first comment…. Edward Carmichael!! Those 2 are 2 of the worst fans I’ve ever seen!!

Edward Carmichael
Edward Carmichael
Jul 24, 2025 8:36 PM

a Dallas Cowboys fan, since the 70’s you must be on Jerry Jones pay roll because everybody hate hearing the truth

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