NFC Playoff picture takes shape after Week 16 showdowns

NFC West Seattle Seahawks football player running with ball during NFL game, team in blue and green uniform, stadium crowd in background.

Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season is nearly complete, with only two more games on the slate before shifting focus to Week 17.

On Sunday Night Football, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens look to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, defending home field versus the second seed New England Patriots.

Monday Night Football will feature an inter-conference matchup between the playoff-hopeful Indianapolis Colts and the San Francisco 49ers.

There were a handful of intriguing matchups filled with drama, and teams needing victories to keep their seasons alive.

When the day started, there were seven NFC teams already eliminated from the playoffs:

  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Atlanta Falcons
  • New Orleans Saints
  • Washington Commanders
  • Arizona Cardinals
  • New York Giants

Week 16 showdowns helped the NFC Playoff picture take shape. Let’s look at how it ended with only the San Francisco 49ers left to play on Monday night.

Playing American football at Lincoln Financial Field, featuring the Philadelphia Eagles' offensive line and the opposing defense, with a packed stadium in the background.

Clinched the Playoffs

The NFC Playoff picture is nearly set, with only the NFC South division-winner undecided and a battle for the Wildcard still going strong.

Carolina took down the Buccaneers in a close game to take a one-game lead with two games to go, and each team’s only chance at the playoffs is a division championship.

Tampa Bay has one more chance at redemption in another head-to-head matchup in the season finale that will decide which team locks up the seventh and final NFC playoff spot.

The Philadelphia Eagles are the only team to have clinched a division title with their victory over the Washington Commanders on Saturday.

The NFC North is still a battle between the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers, who played an ESPN Instant Classic game that went to overtime on Saturday night.

In the NFC West, the Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams, and San Francisco 49ers are not only still in contention for the division title, but also for the number one seed in the conference.

Most of these teams still have games against each other in the final two weeks, which will make for entertaining football.

A man wearing a black Detroit Lions cap and shirt, with a serious expression, standing on the field during a football game, representing Inside The Star's sports coverage.

Still in the Hunt

The Detroit Lions still had an outside shot at the division title before their untimely loss to the Steelers, and now their only hope is the final Wildcard spot.

Sitting at 8-7, the Lions would need to win their final two games, and hope other teams (49ers and Packers) lose their final two.

The 49ers and Packers need only to win one more game each, and it would eliminate the Lions from playoff contention.

Improved Draft Position

A few teams who took losses in Week 16 might not have made fans happy, but they improved their draft position for the 2026 NFL Draft.

Here are the teams who took losses in Week 16 (including AFC teams), changing up the NFL draft picture:

  • Cleveland Browns
  • Dallas Cowboys
  • Kansas City Chiefs
  • Miami Dolphins
  • New York Jets
  • New York Giants
  • Washington Commanders
  • Arizona Cardinals
  • Las Vegas Raiders

If the draft were today, the New York Giants would own the number one overall pick.

A team who is surprisingly on this list is the Kansas City Chiefs, who were already nearly eliminated before Patrick Mahomes tore his ACL.

You could call the Cowboys a surprise as well, with as well as the offense has played this season.

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Mario Herrera Jr. is a sports analyst specializing in statistical analysis and Dallas Cowboys coverage. At InsideTheStar.com, he has published 692 articles reaching over 1.1 million readers. His work integrates metrics with strategy in the context of Cowboys football, providing evidence-based analysis of roster decisions, player performance, and game planning.